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Stats as of

kumargoat

+$1.3K
Tracked Trades
703
First Seen
Feb 14, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In Other finance
89% won · 28 settled · +$917.49

kumargoat is a Kalshi trader with 703 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 150 wins and 107 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 9 percentage points? on Nov 2.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$54.4K
Typical trade
$21.00
Avg entry
59¢
Kalshi rank
#3,061

Profit over time

+$1.9K+$0.00
Feb 14Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1115%9%+3 pts
20 to 40¢4433%0%-33 pts
40 to 60¢26650%51%+1 pts
60 to 80¢6171%57%-13 pts
Over 80¢22194%98%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $917643%-$34.81
$10 to $2117653%-$46.46
$21 to $7517650%-$240.23
$76 to $2.0K17574%+$1.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL31042%-$29.03
College basketball2777%+$13.70
Golf1592%+$183.68
Bitcoin3668%+$310.91
College football8353%-$97.60
Other finance6489%+$917.49

Side taken

Yes 63%37% No

If you had copied kumargoat

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,925.71
Profit
on $16,800.00 staked
79-89
Record
47% win rate
-11%
Return
151 still open
Profit over time168 settled trades
+$454.11-$2.2K
Oct 5Oct 26
-$3.2K
Max drawdown
312% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.78×
Profit factor
$7.0K won vs $8.9K lost
-5.9 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
110 trades

By category

sports166 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

151 open positions worth $3.3K

The markets kumargoat is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what kumargoat is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 9 percentage points?
Nov 2, 2 fills
Sold Yessold 6¢$11.96Exited
Stefon Diggs: 4+ receptions
Oct 31
Yes61¢$18.91-$18.91
Elijah Higgins: 2+ receptions
Oct 31
Yes62¢$19.22+$11.78
See every position across 517 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    What will Logan Paul’s 1997 Pokémon Japanese promotional “Pikachu Illustrator” trading card, graded PSA 10 go for at auction?
    $142.95 on Yes at 15¢, Feb 16
    +$783.05
  2. 2
    Buffalo wins by over 3.5 points?
    $289.44 on Yes at 48¢, Oct 27
    +$313.56
  3. 3
    Detroit wins by over 2.5 points?
    $290.64 on Yes at 56¢, Oct 20
    +$228.36
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?97¢11100%+$209.26
What will Logan Paul’s 1997 Pokémon Japanese promotional “Pikachu Illustrator” trading card, graded PSA 10 go for at auction?76¢6489%+$917.49
BTC price up in next 15 mins?84¢3168%+$310.91
Bitcoin price on Feb 21, 2026?98¢5+$0.00
Will Sebastian Korda win the Korda vs Ruud : Quarterfinal match?92¢6100%+$80.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$1.5K
Oct 2026-$189.79

Kalshi leaderboards

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