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Stats as of
leaf.nest
-$1.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 322
- First Seen
- Mar 29, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 14% won · 28 settled · +$2.6K
leaf.nest is a Kalshi trader with 322 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 37 wins and 247 losses on settled markets, -$1.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Tie,yes Tie on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 13%
- Return on settled
- -12%
- Money traded
- $18.3K
- Typical trade
- $37.45
- Avg entry
- 7¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,305
Profit over time
+$0.00-$4.3K
Mar 29Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2167%5%-3 pts
20 to 40¢7028%25%-4 pts
40 to 60¢2147%56%+8 pts
60 to 80¢364%50%-14 pts
Over 80¢1296%0%-96 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $18813%-$521.80
$18 to $378113%+$1.1K
$38 to $488015%+$275.78
$48 to $9938022%-$2.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Cricket13513%-$891.32
Soccer6515%-$974.00
Parlays3012%+$2.4K
Bitcoin327%-$576.65
Commodities1828%-$349.93
XRP157%-$657.28
Side taken
Yes 92%8% No
If you had copied leaf.nest
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$7,034.28
Profit
on $7,700.00 staked
14-63
Record
18% win rate
+91%
Return
+$7.0K-$2.4K
Sep 7Nov 2
-$3.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
1.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.12×
Profit factor
$13.3K won vs $6.3K lost
+2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 16¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 13
- Deepest drawdown
- 68 trades
By category
sports36 settled+234%
finance11 settled-5%
crypto30 settled-44%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Tie,yes Tie
Nov 8, 2 fills
yes Freiburg,yes HamKam,yes Eindhoven,yes Villarreal,yes Nice,yes Monaco,yes Stade Brest 29,yes Celtic,yes Inter
Nov 8
yes AIK,yes Kalmar,yes Coquimbo,yes Molde,yes Viking,yes Groningen,yes Eindhoven,yes Nacional,yes Vicente Barcelos,yes Celtic,yes Tie,yes Tie
Nov 8, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.8Kyes Seattle,yes Cincinnati,yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Houston,yes San Francisco,yes New York G,yes Detroit wins by over 6.5 points,yes Los Angeles R wins by over 4.5 points,yes Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points$23.38 on Yes at 1¢, Nov 8
- 2+$1.1KWashington Freedom vs MI New York Winner?$65.68 on Yes at 6¢, Jul 16
- 3+$1.0Kyes Gent,yes Leverkusen,yes Slavia Prague,yes Bodoe/Glimt,yes Brighton,yes Liverpool,yes Bournemouth,yes Real Sociedad,yes Lille,yes Falkirk,yes Milan,yes Atalanta,yes AEK Athens$46.84 on Yes at 4¢, Nov 8
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
England vs India Winner?8¢167%-$280.46
BTC price up in next 15 mins?3¢327%-$576.65
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XSEUBMCUMZBW2CBV-XDULAV2MU1+$0.00
Derbyshire vs Somerset Winner?67¢2100%+$163.62
XRP price up in next 15 mins?10¢157%-$657.28
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$287.25
Apr 2026-$189.37
May 2026-$511.67
Jun 2026-$1.4K
Jul 2026+$946.89
Sep 2026-$359.94
Oct 2026-$2.2K
Nov 2026+$2.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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