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Stats as of
lie.base
+$853.88
- Tracked Trades
- 436
- First Seen
- Jan 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 22, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 63% won · 161 settled · +$2.9K
lie.base is a Kalshi trader with 436 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 157 wins and 120 losses on settled markets, $853.88 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gabriel Debru wins on Oct 22.
- Win rate
- 57%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $66.3K
- Typical trade
- $27.65
- Avg entry
- 56¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,919
Profit over time
+$4.8K-$1.5K
Jan 4Oct 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢804%11%+7 pts
20 to 40¢5433%35%+2 pts
40 to 60¢14452%54%+2 pts
60 to 80¢10668%72%+4 pts
Over 80¢5289%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $710958%+$18.45
$7 to $2710948%+$9.01
$28 to $9910950%-$421.38
$102 to $3.3K10971%+$1.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis26163%+$2.9K
College football2440%-$1.4K
NBA2069%-$2.0K
Basketball4168%+$381.96
College basketball1355%-$497.79
Parlays4724%+$645.34
Side taken
Yes 64%36% No
If you had copied lie.base
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$4.47
Profit
on $6,800.00 staked
37-31
Record
54% win rate
-0%
Return
+$0.00-$519.38
Oct 5Oct 19
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
229% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
1.00×
Profit factor
$3.1K won vs $3.1K lost
+1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 4
- Deepest drawdown
- 38 trades
By category
sports68 settled-0%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gabriel Debru wins
Oct 22, 3 fills
Alex Rybakov wins
Oct 22
Alex Rybakov wins
Oct 22, 8 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.0Kyes Los Angeles L,yes Minnesota$890.27 on Yes at 46¢, Jan 7
- 2+$915.31Ella McDonald wins$1.2K on Yes at 57¢, Oct 22
- 3+$870.06Houston wins$825.31 on Yes at 49¢, Oct 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Dallas wins by over 5.5 Points?43¢30%-$3.2K
UCLA wins by over 3.5 points57¢40%-$2.0K
AS Monaco vs SIG Strasbourg Winner?54¢533%-$1.2K
Gabriel Debru wins57¢4100%+$959.43
Ella McDonald wins57¢5100%+$915.31
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 25Oct 22
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$487.78
Feb 2026-$50.50
Mar 2026-$76.37
Apr 2026+$10.35
May 2026-$140.00
Jun 2026-$124.77
Jul 2026-$20.20
Oct 2026+$1.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
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