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Stats as of

light.fraud

+$6.3K
Tracked Trades
641
First Seen
Sep 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 24, 2026
Best In MMA
72% won ยท 47 settled ยท +$4.4K

light.fraud is a Kalshi trader with 641 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 247 wins and 219 losses on settled markets, $6.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Alex Volkanovski wins on Oct 24.

Win rate
53%
Return on settled
+24%
Money traded
$30.0K
Typical trade
$26.56
Avg entry
33ยข
Kalshi rank
#1,215

Profit over time

+$6.3K-$172.00
Sep 12Oct 24

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข1449%12%+3 pts
20 to 40ยข13129%37%+7 pts
40 to 60ยข19551%61%+9 pts
60 to 80ยข15168%68%+0 pts
Over 80ยข2089%86%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1816135%+$74.55
$19 to $2716051%+$154.42
$27 to $4916052%+$778.39
$49 to $1.6K16062%+$5.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin30743%+$1.7K
MMA4872%+$4.4K
NFL7462%+$270.32
College football6861%-$17.47
Baseball6462%-$135.26
Hockey2752%+$28.44

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied light.fraud

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$5,603.45
Profit
on $38,300.00 staked
214-169
Record
56% win rate
+15%
Return
Profit over time383 settled trades
+$6.2K+$0.00
Sep 7Oct 19
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
61% below peak
3.9ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.33ร—
Profit factor
$22.5K won vs $16.9K lost
+4.4 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 52ยข avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
143 trades

By category

sports221 settled+18%
crypto161 settled+10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Alex Volkanovski wins
Oct 24
Yes46ยข$1.5K+$1.8K
Petr Yan wins
Oct 24
Yes59ยข$1.6K+$1.1K
Loneer Kavanagh wins
Oct 24
Yes51ยข$837.28+$804.45
See every position across 376 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Alex Volkanovski wins
    $1.5K on Yes at 46ยข, Oct 24
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    Petr Yan wins
    $1.6K on Yes at 59ยข, Oct 24
    +$1.1K
  3. 3
    Loneer Kavanagh wins
    $837.28 on Yes at 51ยข, Oct 24
    +$804.45
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?25ยข30743%+$1.7K
Petr Yan wins59ยข1100%+$1.1K
Alex Volkanovski wins46ยข1100%+$1.8K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?62ยข2870%+$142.05
Loneer Kavanagh wins51ยข1100%+$804.45

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 27Oct 24

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.4K
Oct 2026+$4.9K

Kalshi leaderboards

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