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Stats as of

Kalshi

LittleWolfLake

littlewolflake

-$23.98
Tracked Trades
936
First Seen
Jun 18, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026
Best In Tech and AI
67% won · 12 settled · +$6.34

LittleWolfLake is a Kalshi trader with 936 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 239 wins and 142 losses on settled markets, -$23.98 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 21, 2026? on Oct 21.

Win rate
63%
Return on settled
-7%
Money traded
$975.80
Typical trade
$0.97
Avg entry
38¢
Kalshi rank
#3,956

Profit over time

+$7.00-$32.00
Jun 18Oct 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12410%15%+5 pts
20 to 40¢10329%31%+2 pts
40 to 60¢13251%57%+6 pts
60 to 80¢18271%63%-8 pts
Over 80¢39592%90%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $123452%+$5.07
$1 to $123452%-$15.25
$1 to $123486%+$2.49
$1 to $4823462%-$16.29

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US politics21140%-$14.37
Weather18172%+$2.66
Tech and AI9267%+$6.34
Mentions12154%-$10.35
Economic data10771%+$3.96
Fed and rates6964%-$13.52

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied LittleWolfLake

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$4,935.29
Profit
on $19,400.00 staked
131-63
Record
68% win rate
+25%
Return
102 still open
Profit over time194 settled trades
+$4.9K-$1.2K
Aug 10Oct 19
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
1596% below peak
3.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.78×
Profit factor
$11.2K won vs $6.3K lost
+1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
68% won at 66¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
94 trades

By category

culture148 settled+34%
finance38 settled+1%
politics8 settled-14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

100 open positions worth $73.17

The markets LittleWolfLake is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what LittleWolfLake is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 21, 2026?
Oct 21
Yes96¢$0.96+$0.04
Will it rain in Miami on Oct 19, 2026?
Oct 19, 3 fills
Yes54¢sold 17¢$1.07-$1.07
Will Shou Zi Chew testify in front of Congress before Jan 2027?
Oct 19
Sold Nosold 75¢$1.48Exited
See every position across 635 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will any of the major AI companies pause research before 2027?
    $0.94 on Yes at 11¢, Jun 18
    +$7.61
  2. 2
    Which countries will have recessions?
    $1.09 on Yes at 13¢, Aug 23
    +$7.39
  3. 3
    Will Trump say "Trainwreck" before Oct 1, 2026?
    $2.88 on No at 45¢, Aug 22
    +$3.47
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that general access to Fable 5 is restored for US customers before Jul 10, 2026?1+$0.00
Will legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency become law before Jan 1, 2027?24¢1515%-$9.54
Will ICE announce a change to its official name before Jan 1, 2027?2+$0.00
What will Home Depot say during their next earnings call?42¢2060%+$0.10
Will legislation that requires ICE and CBP personnel engaged in enforcement operations to wear body-worn cameras become law in 2026?9¢5+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$8.87
Jul 2026-$1.20
Aug 2026-$13.57
Sep 2026-$3.62
Oct 2026+$3.28

Kalshi leaderboards

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