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Stats as of
lost.lungfish
+$3.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 391
- First Seen
- Oct 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 26, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 67% won · 211 settled · +$3.3K
lost.lungfish is a Kalshi trader with 391 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 142 wins and 70 losses on settled markets, $3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 26.
- Win rate
- 67%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $82.3K
- Typical trade
- $102.14
- Avg entry
- 75¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,869
Profit over time
+$3.8K-$266.00
Oct 23Oct 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢359%6%-3 pts
20 to 40¢3831%20%-11 pts
40 to 60¢5952%42%-10 pts
60 to 80¢6469%83%+14 pts
Over 80¢19593%93%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $409825%-$34.93
$41 to $1029867%-$195.79
$102 to $2999889%+$1.6K
$301 to $1.3K9794%+$1.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin38867%+$3.3K
Tennis1+$0.00
Parlays20%-$9.31
Side taken
Yes 54%46% No
If you had copied lost.lungfish
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$824.71
Profit
on $13,600.00 staked
90-46
Record
66% win rate
-6%
Return
+$0.00-$861.90
Oct 19Oct 26
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
1385% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.82×
Profit factor
$3.8K won vs $4.6K lost
+0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
66% won at 66¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 104 trades
By category
crypto134 settled-6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 26
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 26, 3 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 26, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$928.92BTC price up in next 15 mins?$966.83 on Yes at 51¢, Oct 26
- 2+$530.55BTC price up in next 15 mins?$381.67 on Yes at 42¢, Oct 25
- 3+$498.39BTC price up in next 15 mins?$581.29 on No at 54¢, Oct 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?77¢38867%+$3.3K
Karen Khachanov wins1+$0.00
no Target Price: $80,744.94,no Target Price: $2,361.23,yes Target Price: $4.4898,yes Target Price: $102.4495,yes Target Price: $1.30871¢20%-$9.31
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 29Oct 26
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$3.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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