Stats as of
Lucifer2817
lucifer2817
-$5.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,622
- First Seen
- Jul 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
Lucifer2817 is a Kalshi trader with 1,622 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 434 wins and 487 losses on settled markets, -$5.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Sera Nishimoto wins on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 47%
- Return on settled
- -6%
- Money traded
- $288.6K
- Typical trade
- $24
- Avg entry
- 46¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,712
Profit over time
+$8.9K-$11.3K
Jul 23Oct 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7210%2%-8 pts
20 to 40¢50730%38%+8 pts
40 to 60¢34148%42%-6 pts
60 to 80¢32771%52%-19 pts
Over 80¢37587%98%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $440650%+$19
$4 to $2440649%-$88
$25 to $13240541%-$1.7K
$132 to $6.7K40545%-$3.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis158948%-$5.6K
Soccer8100%+$252
MMA180%-$209
Bitcoin20%-$50
Hockey3100%+$6
Golf20%-$8
Side taken
Yes 67%33% No
If you had copied Lucifer2817
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$3258
Profit
on $92100 staked
434-487
Record
47% win rate
+4%
Return
158 still open
+$4.4K-$12.0K
Jul 20Oct 5
-$20.4K
Max drawdown
319% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07×
Profit factor
$52.0K won vs $48.7K lost
-0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 48¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 56
- Deepest drawdown
- 480 trades
By category
sports412 settled+34%
other506 settled-21%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
26 open positions worth $37.6K
The markets Lucifer2817 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Sera Nishimoto wins
Oct 6
Sera Nishimoto wins
Oct 6, 10 fills
Riko Kikawada wins
Oct 6, 12 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$9.3KDominick Mosejczuk wins$3.9K on Yes at 29¢, Oct 3
- 2+$5.5KWill Ryuki Matsuda win the Matsuda vs Ichikawa: M15 Bali Quarterfinal match?$1.7K on Yes at 23¢, Jul 24
- 3+$4.2KWill Thanaphat Boosarawongse win the Ryan Ziegann vs Boosarawongse: M15 Bali Quarterfinal match?$7.9K on Yes at 65¢, Jul 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will William Mroz Mroz win the Sheldon vs Mroz: M25 Champaign IL Quarterfinal match?34¢56+$0
Will Gala Ivanovic win the Ivanovic vs Ghirardato: W15 Kursumlijska Banja Quarterfinal match?24¢540%-$6.9K
Will Nikita Filin win the Filin vs Honda: M25 Champaign IL Quarterfinal match?28¢470%-$4.8K
Dominick Mosejczuk wins31¢107100%+$11.6K
Will Qian Sun win the Sun vs Lu: M15 Tianjin Round of 16 match?38¢520%-$3.3K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$4.4K
Aug 2026-$3.5K
Sep 2026-$2.2K
Oct 2026+$4.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies Lucifer2817.
Bring Lucifer2817 into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.