realspill
-$5.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 220
- First Seen
- Jan 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Aug 28, 2026
- Followers
- 20
realspill is a Kalshi trader with 220 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1 wins and 8 losses on settled markets, -$5.5K net profit on those trades.
- Win rate
- 11%
- Return on settled
- -96%
- Money traded
- $49.0K
- Typical trade
- $16
- Copy score
- 0/100
- Kalshi rank
- #4,309
Profit over time
+$125-$5.5K
Jan 25Aug 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢15516%50%+34 pts
20 to 40¢3925%
40 to 60¢744%0%-44 pts
60 to 80¢569%0%-69 pts
Over 80¢1495%0%-95 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2550%-$2
$2 to $1655+$0
$16 to $1605533%+$30
$164 to $6.9K550%-$5.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tech and AI192+$0
Entertainment170%-$5.6K
Soccer2+$0
Other sports1+$0
Parlays30%-$96
NBA3100%+$174
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied realspill
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$600
Profit
on $600 staked
0-6
Record
0% win rate
-100%
Return
8 still open
+$0-$600
Jun 29Aug 24
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.
By category
culture5 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
6 open positions worth $1.2K
The markets realspill is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Aug 28, 3 fills, avg 69¢
Will another GTA VI trailer come out before Sep 2026?
Aug 28, 12 fills, avg 96¢
Will another GTA VI trailer come out before Sep 2026?
Aug 27, 5 fills, avg 71¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$174Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner?$28 on Yes, Jun 11
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?189+$0
Will another GTA VI trailer come out before Sep 2026?170%-$5.6K
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?3+$0
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?1+$0
Will Joey Chestnut eat 65+ hot dogs in the Men's Division of the 2026 Nathan's Famous Fourth of July International Hot Dog Eating Contest?1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
May 31Aug 28
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$48
Feb 2026-$2
Jun 2026+$174
Jul 2026-$96
Aug 2026-$5.6K
Similar Kalshi traders
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