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Stats as of

luck.blk

+$2.6K
Tracked Trades
521
First Seen
Aug 12, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 23, 2026
Best In Tennis
53% won · 126 settled · +$1.8K

luck.blk is a Kalshi trader with 521 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 185 wins and 157 losses on settled markets, $2.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 23.

Win rate
54%
Return on settled
+15%
Money traded
$34.1K
Typical trade
$9.35
Avg entry
42¢
Kalshi rank
#2,422

Profit over time

+$2.6K-$1.1K
Aug 12Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢939%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢10630%42%+12 pts
40 to 60¢13150%58%+8 pts
60 to 80¢8270%70%+0 pts
Over 80¢10991%86%-5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $213153%-$0.44
$2 to $913059%-$10.84
$9 to $4913045%-$47.65
$49 to $1.4K13060%+$2.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis19453%+$1.8K
NFL4537%-$885.04
Bitcoin20757%-$292.91
College football4100%+$909.23
Basketball3100%+$862.92
Other sports640%-$16.31

Side taken

Yes 59%41% No

If you had copied luck.blk

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$16.14
Profit
on $22,400.00 staked
122-102
Record
54% win rate
-0%
Return
Profit over time224 settled trades
+$678.82-$128.34
Aug 10Oct 19
-$2.8K
Max drawdown
271% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
1.00×
Profit factor
$10.2K won vs $10.2K lost
+1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
108 trades

By category

sports137 settled+4%
crypto87 settled-7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 58¢$562.66Exited
James Madison wins
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 68¢$522.53Exited
Ella McDonald wins
Oct 22
Sold Nosold 81¢$1.4KExited
See every position across 211 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Ella McDonald wins
    $377.06 on Yes at 21¢, Oct 22
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    Oklahoma St. wins
    $1.1K on Yes at 54¢, Sep 12
    +$909.23
  3. 3
    USA wins
    $938.12 on Yes at 52¢, Sep 13
    +$862.92
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?38¢20058%-$241.94
Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Houston wins?64¢30%-$1.5K
Simona Waltert wins31¢40%-$620.12
Ella McDonald wins21¢5100%+$1.4K
Frances Tiafoe wins26¢40%-$543.34

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 26Oct 23

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$10.80
Sep 2026+$380.16
Oct 2026+$2.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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