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Stats as of

luckdragon

-$6.0K
Tracked Trades
79
First Seen
Jul 28, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Companies
100% won · 13 settled · +$46.33

luckdragon is a Kalshi trader with 79 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 25 wins and 36 losses on settled markets, -$6.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC Championship? on Nov 4.

Win rate
41%
Return on settled
-87%
Money traded
$15.5K
Typical trade
$96.48
Avg entry
21¢
Kalshi rank
#6,643

Profit over time

+$89.00-$6.0K
Jul 28Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢118%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢1627%0%-27 pts
40 to 60¢950%29%-21 pts
60 to 80¢674%100%+26 pts
Over 80¢791%80%-11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $881336%-$43.56
$94 to $96120%-$949.29
$98 to $2141245%-$872.47
$248 to $3.9K120%-$4.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections210%-$3.4K
NFL1225%-$2.6K
US politics4100%+$43.68
Companies3100%+$46.33
World politics2+$0.00
Soccer30%-$131.76

Side taken

Yes 86%14% No

If you had copied luckdragon

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$373.42
Profit
on $500.00 staked
1-4
Record
20% win rate
-75%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$26.58-$373.42
Sep 21Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $1.6K

The markets luckdragon is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what luckdragon is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC Championship?
Nov 4, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 77¢$2.4KExited
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?
Nov 4, 11 fills
Yes33¢$1.8K-$1.8K
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan?
Nov 4, 3 fills
Yes16¢$318.83-$318.83
See every position across 21 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    When will SpaceX IPO?
    $408.21 on Yes at 90¢, Jun 3
    +$46.33
  2. 2
    Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2025?
    $47.32 on Yes at 52¢, Jul 28
    +$43.68
  3. 3
    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q3 2025?
    $87.55 on Yes at 69¢, Aug 29
    +$38.45
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?15¢90%-$699.21
Pro Football NFC Championship Winner?14¢30%-$2.5K
Will San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC Championship?2+$0.00
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?33¢70%-$1.8K
KXNFLNFCCHAMP-27-SF22¢2+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Jul 2025+$43.68
Aug 2025+$45.80
Oct 2025-$46.35
Dec 2025-$2.5K
Jan 2026-$303.89
Mar 2026+$4.40
May 2026-$242.18
Jun 2026-$531.46
Jul 2026-$32.19
Sep 2026+$6.55
Oct 2026-$1.1K
Nov 2026-$1.3K

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