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Stats as of

lucky.mongoose

+$1.3K
Tracked Trades
43
First Seen
Sep 30, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026
Best In Parlays
23% won ยท 13 settled ยท +$385.87

lucky.mongoose is a Kalshi trader with 43 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 8 wins and 19 losses on settled markets, $1.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Real Madrid + Atletico + Roma on Oct 28.

Win rate
30%
Return on settled
+40%
Money traded
$14.6K
Typical trade
$98.74
Avg entry
10ยข
Kalshi rank
#3,352

Profit over time

+$1.3K-$14.00
Sep 30Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข97%13%+6 pts
20 to 40ยข630%20%-10 pts
40 to 60ยข1850%46%-4 pts
60 to 80ยข470%
Over 80ยข693%0%-93 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$9 to $451113%-$90.36
$47 to $991122%+$495.28
$117 to $2421138%-$258.07
$249 to $3.7K10100%+$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays2023%+$385.87
College football1429%+$182.17
Hockey250%+$626.38
NFL467%+$189.07
Baseball20%-$28.96
Soccer10%-$14.11

Side taken

Yes 60%40% No

If you had copied lucky.mongoose

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$126.93
Profit
on $2,600.00 staked
8-18
Record
31% win rate
+5%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time26 settled trades
+$355.30-$100.00
Sep 28Oct 26
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
101% below peak
0.1ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07ร—
Profit factor
$1.9K won vs $1.8K lost
-4.6 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 35ยข avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
19 trades

By category

sports26 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $470.63

The markets lucky.mongoose is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lucky.mongoose is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Real Madrid + Atletico + Roma
Oct 28
Sold Nosold 69ยข$850.01Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202656MJP2FM3HZDWLID-C3PELI5FO
Oct 28
Sold Nosold 90ยข$3.6KExited
Boston wins
Oct 18, 6 fills
Yes45ยข$532.32+$650.61
See every position across 27 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Atlanta,yes Chris Olave: 80+,yes Juwan Johnson: 25+,yes Bijan Robinson: 80+,no Alvin Kamara: 40+,yes Bijan Robinson: 1+
    $94.03 on Yes at 10ยข, Oct 6
    +$885.45
  2. 2
    Boston wins
    $532.32 on Yes at 45ยข, Oct 18
    +$650.61
  3. 3
    Georgia wins
    $462.52 on Yes at 46ยข, Oct 10
    +$542.96
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026054335B0862-493693514611+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202656MJP2FM3HZDWLID-C3PELI5FO1+$0.00
Oklahoma wins by over 5.5 points51ยข450%-$16.14
Georgia wins46ยข2100%+$542.96
Parlay: Real Madrid + Atletico + Roma1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$14.11
Oct 2026+$1.4K

Kalshi leaderboards

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