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Stats as of
lukedaboss
+$1.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 521
- First Seen
- May 3, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 26, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 37% won · 169 settled · +$1.4K
lukedaboss is a Kalshi trader with 521 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 199 wins and 291 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Seattle wins on Oct 26.
- Win rate
- 41%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $32.8K
- Typical trade
- $24.09
- Avg entry
- 44¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,296
Profit over time
+$1.5K-$428.00
May 3Oct 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9511%4%-7 pts
20 to 40¢16930%32%+2 pts
40 to 60¢16650%53%+4 pts
60 to 80¢7268%76%+9 pts
Over 80¢1987%100%+13 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1013121%-$172.15
$10 to $2413040%+$360.87
$24 to $6813045%-$146.23
$70 to $1.4K13057%+$1.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays17837%+$1.4K
Soccer7147%-$302.83
NFL5641%+$197.13
Baseball13341%-$340.11
MMA3847%-$39.43
NBA1944%+$710.75
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied lukedaboss
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$614.49
Profit
on $20,000.00 staked
92-108
Record
46% win rate
-3%
Return
+$232.39-$1.5K
Aug 10Oct 26
-$2.1K
Max drawdown
445% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.94×
Profit factor
$10.2K won vs $10.8K lost
+2.6 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 43¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 96 trades
By category
sports199 settled-3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Seattle wins
Oct 26
Los Angeles L wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 25
yes Luka Dončić: 30+,yes Lauri Markkanen: 20+,yes Los Angeles L wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 25
Biggest wins
- 1+$589.97yes Los Angeles L,yes Los Angeles R$432.51 on Yes at 42¢, Oct 25
- 2+$473.24yes Brazil,yes Morocco,yes USA$214.61 on Yes at 31¢, Jun 19
- 3+$390.52yes England advances,yes USA advances,yes Spain advances,yes Portugal advances,yes Norway advances,yes Erling Haaland: 1+,yes Kylian Mbappe: 1+,yes Goal Diff Reg Time: France wins by more than 1.5 goals$19.69 on Yes at 5¢, Jun 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles D wins62¢2150%-$136.76
Seattle wins89¢1100%+$170.76
Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance83¢1100%+$168.00
yes Norway advances,yes Mexico advances,yes Erling Haaland: 1+10¢20%-$80.37
Chicago wins by over 2.5 points?81¢1100%+$169.45
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 29Oct 26
Profit by month
May 2026-$102.50
Jun 2026+$1.3K
Jul 2026-$882.99
Aug 2026-$433.02
Sep 2026+$69.59
Oct 2026+$1.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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