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Stats as of

lumchara

+$115.7K
Tracked Trades
4,456
First Seen
Aug 4, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Tennis
12% won · 2,522 settled · +$118.1K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active sports traders who bet one side: BWmarkets, call.road, Bizzle333

lumchara is a Kalshi trader with 4,456 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 348 wins and 2,824 losses on settled markets, $115.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Dalibor Svrcina wins on Nov 3.

Win rate
11%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$1.2M
Typical trade
$1.35
Avg entry
49¢
Kalshi rank
#30

Profit over time

+$116.8K-$84.00
Aug 4Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢32561%0%-1 pts
20 to 40¢25632%26%-5 pts
40 to 60¢50050%57%+7 pts
60 to 80¢23268%75%+7 pts
Over 80¢21292%95%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $011140%-$122.78
$0 to $111142%-$647.78
$1 to $1411146%-$3.1K
$14 to $87K111455%+$119.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis370012%+$118.1K
Soccer1943%-$269.84
MMA4619%-$1.1K
Boxing836%-$413.74
Basketball148%-$590.82
NFL1100%+$39.45

Side taken

Yes 22%78% No

If you had copied lumchara

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$9,166.55
Profit
on $43,800.00 staked
216-222
Record
49% win rate
-21%
Return
Profit over time438 settled trades
+$0.00-$9.2K
Aug 3Nov 2
-$9.4K
Max drawdown
5583% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.59×
Profit factor
$13.0K won vs $22.2K lost
+0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 49¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
383 trades

By category

culture12 settled-4%
sports178 settled-17%
other248 settled-25%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Dalibor Svrcina wins
Nov 3, 4 fills
No32¢sold 25¢$1.20-$1.20
Dalibor Svrcina wins
Nov 3, 4 fills
Yes68¢$1.1K+$502.40
Isabella Marton wins
Nov 3
Yes33¢$990.00-$990.00
See every position across 375 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26OCT04SCHTOR-SCH
    $79.4K on Yes at 74¢, Oct 4
    +$27.8K
  2. 2
    Will Jose Pereira win the Pereira vs Alves: M25 Londrina Round of 32 match?
    $33.1K on Yes at 59¢, Aug 4
    +$22.9K
  3. 3
    Marie Mattel wins
    $31.6K on Yes at 60¢, Aug 31
    +$21.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Nao Nishino wins85¢2547%+$11.3K
KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26OCT04SCHTOR-SCH74¢1100%+$27.8K
Aliaksandra Sasnovich wins72¢1981%+$3.0K
Will Sophie Greiner win the Steiner vs Greiner: W50 Hamburg Round of 32 match?87¢1100%+$9.6K
Joao Eduardo Schiessl wins70+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$52.4K
Sep 2026+$9.4K
Oct 2026+$54.6K
Nov 2026-$657.29

Kalshi leaderboards

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