rivomarkets

lumchara

+$8.5K
Tracked Trades
3,299
First Seen
Aug 4, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
97

lumchara is a Kalshi trader with 3,299 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 400 wins and 1154 losses on settled markets, $8.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Fight ends by KO/TKO/DQ? on Sep 19.

Win rate
26%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$418.8K
Typical trade
$4
Copy score
24/100
Kalshi rank
#764

Profit over time

+$17.6K-$4.6K
Aug 10Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢16462%1%-1 pts
20 to 40¢17030%11%-19 pts
40 to 60¢37350%41%-9 pts
60 to 80¢26168%69%+1 pts
Over 80¢82894%97%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $18204%-$102
$1 to $482016%-$609
$5 to $3481940%-$2.0K
$35 to $18K81965%+$11.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture4387%+$19.3K
Sports3340%-$1.7K

Side taken

Yes 46%54% No

If you had copied lumchara

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$101351
Profit
on $155400 staked
400-1154
Record
26% win rate
-65%
Return
1133 still open
Profit over time1554 settled trades
+$200-$101.4K
Aug 3Sep 14
-$101.6K
Max drawdown
50775% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.12×
Profit factor
$14.0K won vs $115.4K lost
-2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 28¢ avg
Longest losing streak
221
Deepest drawdown
1551 trades

By category

culture31 settled+44%
sports5 settled-21%
other1518 settled-68%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

114 open positions worth $249.4K

The markets lumchara is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lumchara is holding

Recent positions

Fight ends by KO/TKO/DQ?
Sep 19, 19 fills, avg 1¢
BUYNO$5-$5
Ryan Gandra wins by KO/TKO/DQ?
Sep 19, 17 fills, avg 1¢
BUYNO$10-$10
Fight ends before round 2?
Sep 19, 11 fills, avg 1¢
BUYNO$10-$10
See every position across 203 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Marie Mattel wins
    $31.6K on Yes, Aug 31
    +$21.1K
  2. 2
    Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru wins
    $460 on Yes, Sep 3
    +$1.7K
  3. 3
    Daniel Rincon wins
    $627 on Yes, Aug 24
    +$832
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Sophie Greiner win the Steiner vs Greiner: W50 Hamburg Round of 32 match?79+$0
Will Nicolas Robert win the Basile vs Robert: M25 Koksijde Round of 32 match?88+$0
Daniel Rincon wins12182%+$1.1K
Will Jose Pereira win the Pereira vs Alves: M25 Londrina Round of 32 match?66+$0
Marie Mattel wins31100%+$21.5K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$15.7K
Sep 2026-$7.2K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy lumchara on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.