Get an alert the moment machao trades.
Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.
Stats as of
machao
+$3.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 153
- First Seen
- Mar 7, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 28, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 4% won · 135 settled · +$3.6K
machao is a Kalshi trader with 153 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 8 wins and 130 losses on settled markets, $3.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VWQ74SAVYMNB7BUK-TCY6YXB2D on Oct 28.
- Win rate
- 6%
- Return on settled
- +74%
- Money traded
- $18.4K
- Typical trade
- $9.33
- Avg entry
- 5¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,810
Profit over time
+$4.8K-$645.00
Mar 7Oct 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1334%5%+2 pts
20 to 40¢429%0%-29 pts
40 to 60¢349%0%-49 pts
Over 80¢1394%33%-60 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $9393%-$34.98
$9 to $9380%-$354.09
$9 to $18383%-$293.64
$19 to $5.2K3826%+$4.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays1494%+$3.6K
NBA467%+$308.98
Side taken
Yes 90%10% No
If you had copied machao
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$993.42
Profit
on $3,200.00 staked
4-28
Record
13% win rate
-31%
Return
+$0.00-$997.59
Oct 5Oct 26
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.65×
Profit factor
$1.8K won vs $2.8K lost
+1.9 pts
Edge vs implied
13% won at 11¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 25 trades
By category
sports32 settled-31%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VWQ74SAVYMNB7BUK-TCY6YXB2D
Oct 28
Minnesota wins
Oct 26
Parlay: Phoenix + Indiana + Oklahoma City + Los Angeles L + New York + Minnesota
Oct 26
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.7KParlay: Cleveland + Phoenix + Houston + Charlotte + Philadelphia + Denver + San Antonio$944.79 on Yes at 17¢, Oct 24
- 2+$690.73yes Atlanta,yes Charlotte,yes Toronto,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles L,yes Minnesota,yes Portland,yes Memphis,yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,yes Atlanta$94.19 on Yes at 12¢, Oct 22
- 3+$320.73yes Atlanta,yes Dallas,yes Detroit,yes Los Angeles L,yes Minnesota,yes Boston,yes Portland,yes Toronto$56.60 on Yes at 15¢, Oct 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026UOMRPW3PA4EJBT2G-TCCS5BLVV1+$0.00
yes OG Anunoby: 1+,yes Payton Pritchard: 5+,yes Tyrese Maxey: 1+,yes Nikola Jokić: 6+,yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Desmond Bane: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Nikola Jokić: 25+,yes Ayo Dosunmu: 15+,yes Julius Randle: 20+,yes Dillon Brooks: 15+,yes Jalen Green: 10+,yes CJ McCollum: 10+,yes Jalen Brunson: 20+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+,yes OG Anunoby: 15+,yes Ausar Thompson: 2+,yes Paolo Banchero: 6+,yes Nikola Jokić: 10+,yes Julius Randle: 6+,yes Dyson Daniels: 6+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 8+,yes Oklahoma City wins by over 4.5 points,yes Over 202.5 points scored0¢20%-$4.54
Minnesota wins96¢1100%+$63.78
yes Cleveland,yes Houston,yes Miami,yes Philadelphia,yes Denver,yes San Antonio,yes Washington7¢20%-$93.91
yes Cleveland,yes Phoenix,yes Houston,yes Miami,yes Philadelphia,yes Denver,yes San Antonio10¢30%-$188.05
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 31Oct 28
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$14.07
Apr 2026-$210.07
May 2026-$232.75
Jun 2026-$9.33
Jul 2026-$19.03
Oct 2026+$4.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies machao.
Bring machao into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.