rivomarkets

Stats as of

Kalshi

mad.bully

+$6
Tracked Trades
845
First Seen
Dec 23, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In Parlays
6% won · 34 settled · +$20

mad.bully is a Kalshi trader with 845 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 68 losses on settled markets, $6 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Tampa Bay,yes Los Angeles C,yes Western Kentucky,yes Seattle,yes Colorado,yes Fukuoka Hawks,yes Hanshin Tigers on Oct 15.

Win rate
16%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$12.1K
Typical trade
$9
Avg entry
1¢
Kalshi rank
#4,474

Profit over time

+$201-$260
Dec 23Oct 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7943%5%+2 pts
20 to 40¢2431%47%+16 pts
40 to 60¢1047%33%-14 pts
60 to 80¢1170%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢694%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $521214%-$34
$5 to $921133%-$28
$9 to $92110%-$177
$9 to $2.0K21119%+$245

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays7575%-$18
MMA750%+$157
Bitcoin4517%-$69
Tennis1467%-$10
Baseball250%-$48
NBA40%-$46

Side taken

Yes 96%4% No

If you had copied mad.bully

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$433
Profit
on $4500 staked
4-41
Record
9% win rate
+10%
Return
289 still open
Profit over time45 settled trades
+$2.5K-$408
Jul 13Oct 12
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
85% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.11×
Profit factor
$4.5K won vs $4.1K lost
-0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
9% won at 10¢ avg
Longest losing streak
24
Deepest drawdown
24 trades

By category

sports35 settled+41%
crypto10 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

291 open positions worth $2.4K

The markets mad.bully is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what mad.bully is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Tampa Bay,yes Los Angeles C,yes Western Kentucky,yes Seattle,yes Colorado,yes Fukuoka Hawks,yes Hanshin Tigers
Oct 15
Yes3¢$9-$9
yes Hapoel Tel-Aviv,yes Milwaukee,yes Miami,yes Boston,yes San Antonio,yes Seattle,yes Florida
Oct 15
Sold Nosold 61¢$126Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026J6NYPXSKFF2EYGOJ-KG6YOE7HK
Oct 15
Sold Nosold 92¢$2.0KExited
See every position across 785 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Detroit,yes Miami,yes Milwaukee,yes Houston,yes New York Y,yes St. Louis
    $9 on Yes at 4¢, Sep 3
    +$247
  2. 2
    Will Justin Gaethje win the Topuria vs Gaethje professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?
    $49 on Yes at 21¢, Jun 15
    +$185
  3. 3
    yes Philadelphia,yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y,yes San Diego
    $9 on Yes at 7¢, Sep 30
    +$127
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026J6NYPXSKFF2EYGOJ-KG6YOE7HK1+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202682A9F2B2F63-81CA99A02131+$0
yes New York Y,yes Houston,yes Chicago C,yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles D,yes San Diego,yes Bosnia and Herzegovina,yes Mexico,yes Morocco,yes Brazil1¢2+$0
yes Jalen Hurts,yes Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points,yes Over 34.5 points scored9¢2+$0
yes KT Wiz,yes Milwaukee,yes Baltimore,yes Carolina,yes Vegas3¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$27
Jan 2026-$28
Feb 2026-$41
Mar 2026-$37
May 2026-$77
Jun 2026+$144
Jul 2026-$5
Aug 2026-$39
Sep 2026+$301
Oct 2026-$185

Kalshi leaderboards

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