rivomarkets

Stats as of

organic.turtle

+$3
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 14, 2026
Best In Weather
77% won · 48 settled · +$3

organic.turtle is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 43 wins and 13 losses on settled markets, $3 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the maximum temperature be >85° on Oct 15, 2026? on Oct 14.

Win rate
77%
Return on settled
+7%
Money traded
$8.4K
Typical trade
$1
Avg entry
62¢
Kalshi rank
#4,532

Profit over time

+$5+$0
Sep 23Oct 14

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢47310%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢7728%50%+22 pts
40 to 60¢2847%75%+28 pts
60 to 80¢2870%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢39488%92%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $025033%-$0
$0 to $125075%+$3
$1 to $325092%+$0
$3 to $1.3K250+$0

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather100077%+$3

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied organic.turtle

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$281
Profit
on $5600 staked
43-13
Record
77% win rate
+5%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time56 settled trades
+$415+$0
Sep 21Oct 12
-$455
Max drawdown
67% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.22×
Profit factor
$1.6K won vs $1.3K lost
+4.9 pts
Edge vs implied
77% won at 72¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
14 trades

By category

culture56 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $2

The markets organic.turtle is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what organic.turtle is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the maximum temperature be >85° on Oct 15, 2026?
Oct 14, 5 fills
Sold Nosold 91¢$20Exited
KXHIGHMIA-26OCT15-B86.5
Oct 14
Sold Nosold 92¢$1.3KExited
Will the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 15, 2026?
Oct 14, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 91¢$460Exited
See every position across 248 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the maximum temperature be 71-72° on Sep 28, 2026?
    $0 on No at 39¢, Sep 28
    +$1
  2. 2
    Will the maximum temperature be 65-66° on Sep 27, 2026?
    $0 on No at 46¢, Sep 27
    +$1
  3. 3
    Will the maximum temperature be 98-99° on Oct 6, 2026?
    $1 on No at 51¢, Oct 6
    +$0
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXHIGHMIA-26OCT15-B86.51+$0
Will the maximum temperature be 91-92° on Oct 2, 2026?84¢15100%+$0
Will the maximum temperature be >92° on Oct 2, 2026?7+$0
Will the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 15, 2026?2+$0
Will the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 7, 2026?25+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 17Oct 14

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$4
Oct 2026-$1

Kalshi leaderboards

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