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Stats as of
man.thing
+$2.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 982
- First Seen
- Sep 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 25, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 34% won · 194 settled · +$2.6K
man.thing is a Kalshi trader with 982 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 271 wins and 458 losses on settled markets, $2.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Atlanta,yes Dallas,yes Washington on Oct 25.
- Win rate
- 37%
- Return on settled
- +9%
- Money traded
- $61.2K
- Typical trade
- $46.70
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,613
Profit over time
+$3.4K-$902.00
Oct 16Oct 25
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢21210%12%+1 pts
20 to 40¢36231%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢30650%52%+1 pts
60 to 80¢7767%75%+8 pts
Over 80¢2590%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1924624%-$276.07
$19 to $4724644%+$460.24
$47 to $4824534%+$1.2K
$48 to $6.5K24556%+$987.55
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin68640%+$699.14
Parlays25634%+$2.6K
Tennis177%-$455.08
Basketball929%-$127.01
Soccer80%-$172.68
NBA40%-$159.80
Side taken
Yes 62%38% No
If you had copied man.thing
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$203.76
Profit
on $36,600.00 staked
128-238
Record
35% win rate
+1%
Return
+$203.76-$154.47
Oct 12Oct 19
-$5.0K
Max drawdown
504% below peak
0.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.01×
Profit factor
$24.0K won vs $23.8K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
35% won at 34¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 215 trades
By category
sports159 settled+8%
crypto207 settled-5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Atlanta,yes Dallas,yes Washington
Oct 25
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026NFMGPXWQ55D4WNPW-EYIKDKPBH
Oct 25
yes Brooklyn,yes Milwaukee,yes Dallas
Oct 24
Biggest wins
- 1+$728.69BTC price up in next 15 mins?$206.33 on No at 22¢, Oct 21
- 2+$596.46yes Houston,yes Utah,yes Portland$141.93 on Yes at 19¢, Oct 24
- 3+$561.70yes Kimberly Birrell,yes Maya Joint,yes Daria Kasatkina$161.37 on Yes at 22¢, Oct 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?28¢68640%+$699.14
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266CO4TY46D4WKT4SU-3K56E6THH1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026NFMGPXWQ55D4WNPW-EYIKDKPBH1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026NDOILYBUV4LOBRFB-WZ6WWJJKV1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026JLP23G75BBEIQMRR-RU75ZZGRU1+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 28Oct 25
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$2.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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