Stats as of
manuel81
-$2.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 516
- First Seen
- Mar 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 50% won · 34 settled · +$666
manuel81 is a Kalshi trader with 516 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 87 losses on settled markets, -$2.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Tampa Bay + Los Angeles L + Oklahoma City + Portland on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 33%
- Return on settled
- -13%
- Money traded
- $104.2K
- Typical trade
- $94
- Avg entry
- 9¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,342
Profit over time
+$2.2K-$2.3K
Mar 23Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3609%11%+2 pts
20 to 40¢8430%34%+5 pts
40 to 60¢5249%56%+6 pts
60 to 80¢767%75%+8 pts
Over 80¢1391%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $6712925%-$248
$67 to $9412944%+$3.2K
$94 to $19012932%-$1.1K
$191 to $13K12928%-$4.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays44517%-$3.3K
Baseball5151%+$736
NBA2061%+$376
Side taken
Yes 97%3% No
If you had copied manuel81
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2347
Profit
on $5400 staked
12-42
Record
22% win rate
+43%
Return
66 still open
+$4.3K+$0
Aug 31Oct 12
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
46% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.56×
Profit factor
$6.5K won vs $4.2K lost
+4.8 pts
Edge vs implied
22% won at 17¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 20 trades
By category
sports52 settled+49%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
66 open positions worth $8.0K
The markets manuel81 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Tampa Bay + Los Angeles L + Oklahoma City + Portland
Oct 14
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026908CC434DDB-2FD76EC8AD3
Oct 13
yes Milwaukee,yes Brooklyn,yes Atlanta,yes Los Angeles R
Oct 12
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6Kyes Milwaukee,yes Detroit,yes Texas,yes Atlanta,yes Seattle,yes Minnesota,yes San Diego,yes New York Y,yes Los Angeles D$94 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 19
- 2+$1.5Kyes Cleveland,yes Colorado,yes Milwaukee,yes Tampa Bay,yes San Diego,yes Houston,yes Seattle$188 on Yes at 11¢, Sep 27
- 3+$753yes Texas,yes Toronto,yes San Diego,yes San Francisco,yes Los Angeles D$94 on Yes at 11¢, Sep 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Minnesota,yes Texas,yes Colorado,yes Milwaukee,yes Houston3¢2+$0
yes Baltimore,yes Miami,yes Tampa Bay,yes Los Angeles D8¢2+$0
yes Ben Shelton,yes Novak Djokovic,yes Alex de Minaur,yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Cleveland,yes Tampa Bay1+$0
yes Los Angeles D,yes Denver,yes Orlando,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes San Francisco6¢20%-$187
yes Detroit,yes New York Y,yes San Francisco,yes Tampa Bay,yes Atlanta7¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Mar 2026+$1.2K
Apr 2026-$1.3K
May 2026-$1.2K
Jun 2026-$921
Jul 2026-$95
Sep 2026+$3.9K
Oct 2026-$3.8K
Kalshi leaderboards
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