Stats as of
won.trace
-$1.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 197
- First Seen
- Dec 28, 2025
- Last Trade
- Sep 30, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 9% won · 11 settled · +$21
won.trace is a Kalshi trader with 197 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 8 wins and 60 losses on settled markets, -$1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265EBBCE211CF-29B817B88D0 on Sep 30.
- Win rate
- 12%
- Return on settled
- -44%
- Money traded
- $21.3K
- Typical trade
- $21
- Avg entry
- 9¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,469
Profit over time
+$45-$1.3K
Dec 28Sep 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢867%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢4327%11%-17 pts
40 to 60¢1845%13%-32 pts
60 to 80¢1268%67%-2 pts
Over 80¢3893%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $75013%+$27
$7 to $21498%-$170
$21 to $57498%-$711
$58 to $4.0K4919%-$353
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer1087%-$1.1K
Parlays3667%-$15
Companies60%-$108
NFL950%+$154
NBA100%-$120
Bitcoin139%+$21
Side taken
Yes 66%34% No
If you had copied won.trace
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$647
Profit
on $1400 staked
3-11
Record
21% win rate
-46%
Return
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 14 so far.
By category
crypto11 settled-81%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265EBBCE211CF-29B817B88D0
Sep 30
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 30, 3 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$718Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?$94 on Yes at 12¢, Jul 2
- 2+$178Chicago wins$104 on Yes at 37¢, Sep 28
- 3+$87BTC price up in next 15 mins?$77 on No at 47¢, Sep 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance8¢130%-$434
Will the USA win the 2026 Men's World Cup?4¢40%-$89
Paraguay vs France: To Advance11¢110%-$162
Will the Norway win the 2026 Men's World Cup?2¢20%-$21
Will the Portugal win the 2026 Men's World Cup?8¢20%-$88
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 3Sep 30
Profit by month
Dec 2025+$33
Jan 2026-$115
Feb 2026-$143
Jun 2026-$319
Jul 2026-$801
Sep 2026+$138
Kalshi leaderboards
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