Stats as of
match.square
-$3.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 793
- First Seen
- Dec 29, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 10, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 81% won · 68 settled · +$6.8K
match.square is a Kalshi trader with 793 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 310 wins and 158 losses on settled markets, -$3.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CB828975736-858AE5E4936 on Oct 10.
- Win rate
- 66%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $559.1K
- Typical trade
- $411
- Avg entry
- 66¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,654
Profit over time
+$4.2K-$8.3K
Dec 30Oct 10
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢220%
20 to 40¢2931%20%-11 pts
40 to 60¢16853%38%-15 pts
60 to 80¢35871%74%+3 pts
Over 80¢23687%76%-11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $6619965%-$472
$68 to $41119863%-$1.6K
$413 to $97619863%-$5.4K
$976 to $6.2K19874%+$4.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NBA21675%+$2.9K
Parlays15359%+$5.7K
Tennis18670%-$11.6K
Soccer7581%+$7.0K
College basketball5983%-$1.3K
MMA7611%-$4.7K
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied match.square
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$695
Profit
on $14800 staked
93-55
Record
63% win rate
-5%
Return
36 still open
+$460-$695
Jul 13Oct 5
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
211% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$4.8K won vs $5.5K lost
-5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 68¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 14 trades
By category
sports136 settled-6%
other9 settled-15%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
36 open positions worth $30.1K
The markets match.square is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CB828975736-858AE5E4936
Oct 10
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202614F751AF072-069F5B1A447
Oct 9
Cameron Norrie wins
Oct 8
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.3KAtlanta at Detroit Winner?$5.0K on Yes at 68¢, Mar 26
- 2+$2.2KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20261EDF4FF9796-3A6DD3CA5C0$1.6K on Yes at 43¢, Oct 4
- 3+$2.1KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264674BFAFD0D-3E8C83B6698$1.3K on Yes at 38¢, Oct 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Portland at Denver Winner?79¢575%-$1.0K
Chicago at Phoenix Winner?80¢140%-$3.9K
France vs Spain: To Advance60¢50%-$3.2K
yes Charlotte,yes Orlando76¢3+$0
Memphis at Miami Winner?83¢1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 13Oct 10
Profit by month
Dec 2025+$107
Jan 2026-$1.4K
Feb 2026+$578
Mar 2026-$1.6K
Apr 2026+$39
May 2026-$422
Jun 2026-$2.9K
Jul 2026-$719
Aug 2026+$2.2K
Sep 2026+$1.2K
Oct 2026-$234
Kalshi leaderboards
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