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Stats as of
Matia.408
matia.408
-$273.39
- Tracked Trades
- 631
- First Seen
- Jun 2, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 10% won · 29 settled · +$13.15
Matia.408 is a Kalshi trader with 631 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 145 wins and 313 losses on settled markets, -$273.39 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Roma wins on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 32%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $29.7K
- Typical trade
- $19.30
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,737
Profit over time
+$357.00-$1.1K
Jun 2Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1458%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢18231%28%-3 pts
40 to 60¢14849%45%-4 pts
60 to 80¢5868%74%+7 pts
Over 80¢9892%82%-10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $915816%-$286.26
$9 to $1915829%+$139.69
$19 to $4515837%-$440.49
$45 to $3.6K15754%+$313.67
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer32237%-$146.86
Parlays3610%+$13.15
Bitcoin23330%-$106.44
Other crypto1923%+$3.48
XRP189%-$31.25
Boxing1100%+$21.22
Side taken
Yes 66%34% No
If you had copied Matia.408
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$2,328.02
Profit
on $18,400.00 staked
60-124
Record
33% win rate
-13%
Return
+$361.53-$2.9K
Aug 3Nov 2
-$4.9K
Max drawdown
756% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.81×
Profit factor
$10.1K won vs $12.4K lost
-1.7 pts
Edge vs implied
33% won at 34¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 110 trades
By category
crypto20 settled+14%
sports164 settled-16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Roma wins
Nov 3
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EPYOZDHUBOGJP4CS-ILHEV63VI
Nov 3
Roma wins by more than 1.5 goals?
Nov 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$356.48France wins by more than 2.5 goals?$94.76 on Yes at 21¢, Oct 5
- 2+$291.13yes Liverpool,yes PSG,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid,yes Stuttgart$11.50 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 14
- 3+$241.84Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals?$168.06 on Yes at 41¢, Aug 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?26¢23330%-$106.44
yes Arsenal,yes Manchester United,yes Barcelona,yes Inter,yes Bayern Munich,yes Liverpool,yes PSG,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid1¢30%-$23.19
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026EPYOZDHUBOGJP4CS-ILHEV63VI1+$0.00
Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?20¢1427%-$157.81
Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals?40¢675%+$408.55
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$82.84
Jul 2026-$76.14
Aug 2026+$115.96
Sep 2026-$802.63
Oct 2026+$59.74
Nov 2026+$512.52
Kalshi leaderboards
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