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Stats as of

mattfat

-$703
Tracked Trades
174
First Seen
Feb 5, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Parlays
63% won · 35 settled · +$224

mattfat is a Kalshi trader with 174 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 67 wins and 61 losses on settled markets, -$703 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Philadelphia,yes Los Angeles L,yes Portland,yes Toronto on Oct 22.

Win rate
52%
Return on settled
-11%
Money traded
$10.1K
Typical trade
$26
Avg entry
15¢
Kalshi rank
#5,268

Profit over time

+$217-$1.5K
Feb 5Oct 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢197%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢1133%20%-13 pts
40 to 60¢7152%58%+6 pts
60 to 80¢6567%55%-12 pts
Over 80¢888%33%-54 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $114461%-$14
$12 to $264459%+$87
$27 to $534344%-$309
$54 to $7164344%-$467

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NBA5046%+$42
Parlays3963%+$224
College basketball4760%-$95
Basketball1230%-$541
MMA2017%-$61
NFL575%-$294

Side taken

Yes 76%24% No

If you had copied mattfat

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$661
Profit
on $1500 staked
12-3
Record
80% win rate
+44%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time15 settled trades
+$661-$161
Sep 7Oct 19

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 15 so far.

By category

sports15 settled+44%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $588

The markets mattfat is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what mattfat is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Los Angeles L wins
Oct 21
Yes67¢$316+$156
New York wins by over 4.5 points
Oct 21
Sold Yessold 2¢$0Exited
Philadelphia wins
Oct 21
Sold Nosold 15¢$54Exited
See every position across 96 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Magomed Ankalaev,yes Valter Walker,yes Magomed Zaynukov
    $281 on Yes at 37¢, Jul 25
    +$488
  2. 2
    Philadelphia wins
    $141 on Yes at 39¢, Oct 20
    +$221
  3. 3
    Minnesota wins
    $304 on Yes at 62¢, Oct 11
    +$189
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Atlanta at Charlotte Winner?36¢70%-$270
yes Philadelphia,yes Los Angeles L,yes Portland,yes Toronto18¢3+$0
Will Philadelphia win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?5¢8+$0
Minnesota wins62¢12100%+$189
PHI Eagles wins by over 3.5 points?51¢10%-$479

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$454
Mar 2026-$580
Jul 2026+$298
Sep 2026-$542
Oct 2026+$574

Kalshi leaderboards

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