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Stats as of

mcgeronimo

-$3.0K
Tracked Trades
799
First Seen
Oct 12, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 5, 2026
Best In Parlays
18% won · 154 settled · +$6.5K

mcgeronimo is a Kalshi trader with 799 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 261 wins and 446 losses on settled markets, -$3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Taylor Fritz wins on Nov 5.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
-2%
Money traded
$177.4K
Typical trade
$196.46
Avg entry
31¢
Kalshi rank
#4,430

Profit over time

+$793.00-$12.1K
Oct 12Nov 5

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12811%12%+1 pts
20 to 40¢19930%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢41848%46%-3 pts
60 to 80¢1369%50%-19 pts
Over 80¢4195%100%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $9720034%-$1.9K
$98 to $19620038%+$2.2K
$197 to $27020040%+$4.6K
$271 to $1.9K19936%-$7.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
College basketball16148%-$390.05
Parlays17918%+$6.5K
NFL13032%-$8.4K
College football16250%-$143.62
NBA8838%-$1.2K
Baseball5840%+$863.50

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied mcgeronimo

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$811.99
Profit
on $13,700.00 staked
40-97
Record
29% win rate
+6%
Return
Profit over time137 settled trades
+$811.99-$3.0K
Aug 10Nov 9
-$3.4K
Max drawdown
1296% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$10.5K won vs $9.7K lost
-0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
29% won at 30¢ avg
Longest losing streak
18
Deepest drawdown
70 trades

By category

sports134 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Taylor Fritz wins
Nov 5, 2 fills
Yes44¢sold 73¢$663.97+$845.05
no Saint Joseph's wins by over 12.5 points,yes Santa Clara wins by over 17.5 points,yes Over 160.5 points
Nov 5, 2 fills
Yes14¢sold 9¢$235.75+$1.5K
yes Central Michigan,no UMass wins by over 2.5 points,no Toledo wins by over 24.5 points
Nov 4
Yes12¢$232.63+$1.7K
See every position across 682 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes San Jose St.,no Purdue wins by over 34.5 points,yes Oklahoma wins by over 41.5 points
    $282.52 on Yes at 12¢, Sep 4
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    yes Northwestern wins by over 16.5 points,yes Ball St. wins by over 14.5 points,yes Oklahoma St. over 34.5 points,no Over 40.5 points
    $136.00 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 24
    +$2.0K
  3. 3
    yes Florida wins by over 10.5 Points,yes Iowa St. wins by over 14.5 Points,yes Merrimack wins by over 6.5 Points
    $231.39 on Yes at 11¢, Feb 1
    +$1.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 7.5 runs scored12¢2100%+$1.7K
Oklahoma City wins by over 9.5 points?48¢2100%+$765.15
Game 3: Los Angeles L at Houston Winner?33¢2100%+$969.67
New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs?33¢575%+$1.0K
Will Detroit win the 2H by over 2.5 points?51¢925%-$390.06

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 8Nov 5

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$351.06
Jan 2026-$1.0K
Feb 2026-$416.25
Mar 2026-$1.2K
Apr 2026+$1.8K
May 2026-$2.1K
Jun 2026-$1.2K
Jul 2026+$95.92
Aug 2026-$307.47
Sep 2026-$2.4K
Oct 2026+$3.1K
Nov 2026+$4.4K

Kalshi leaderboards

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