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Stats as of

michael.alvarez

+$7.7K
Tracked Trades
657
First Seen
Dec 29, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Parlays
22% won · 273 settled · +$13.6K

michael.alvarez is a Kalshi trader with 657 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 216 wins and 373 losses on settled markets, $7.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-SEA on Nov 3.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$233.6K
Typical trade
$95.26
Avg entry
24¢
Kalshi rank
#1,083

Profit over time

+$15.6K-$1.5K
Dec 29Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2129%9%-1 pts
20 to 40¢13030%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢18051%49%-2 pts
60 to 80¢9868%67%+0 pts
Over 80¢3792%93%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $7216526%-$565.91
$73 to $9516418%+$5.6K
$95 to $24516443%-$1.7K
$245 to $10.0K16461%+$4.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer20451%+$1.1K
Parlays29322%+$13.6K
Baseball7350%-$562.90
NFL4139%-$5.3K
NBA1533%-$2.7K
College football838%-$112.35

Side taken

Yes 95%5% No

If you had copied michael.alvarez

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$3,843.03
Profit
on $51,600.00 staked
190-326
Record
37% win rate
+7%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time516 settled trades
+$9.7K-$1.5K
Aug 10Nov 2
-$7.0K
Max drawdown
68% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.12×
Profit factor
$36.4K won vs $32.6K lost
+0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 37¢ avg
Longest losing streak
18
Deepest drawdown
209 trades

By category

other313 settled+22%
culture10 settled+10%
sports193 settled-16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

4 open positions worth $424.92

The markets michael.alvarez is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what michael.alvarez is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-SEA
Nov 3
Sold Yessold 11¢$228.17Exited
Los Angeles L wins
Nov 2
Yes55¢$969.46+$793.19
yes Santos Laguna,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Los Angeles L,yes Los Angeles R,yes New England,yes Philadelphia
Nov 2, 2 fills
Yes4¢sold 5¢$93.60-$93.60
See every position across 551 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Leeds United,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid,yes Leon,yes Kansas City,yes Como,yes Roma,yes Inter
    $93.53 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 14
    +$7.1K
  2. 2
    yes Barcelona,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
    $7.9K on Yes at 73¢, Sep 19
    +$2.9K
  3. 3
    yes AEK Athens,yes Aston Villa,yes Dortmund,yes Manchester City,yes Real Madrid
    $93.53 on Yes at 4¢, Sep 8
    +$2.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
San Diego wins93¢3100%+$1.3K
yes Barcelona,yes Over 1.5 goals scored73¢1100%+$2.9K
yes Leeds United,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid,yes Leon,yes Kansas City,yes Como,yes Roma,yes Inter1¢2100%+$7.1K
Bayern Munich wins70¢433%-$3.4K
Los Angeles L wins60¢425%-$3.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$89.87
Jan 2026-$12.80
Jun 2026-$1.1K
Jul 2026-$9.30
Aug 2026+$5.4K
Sep 2026+$5.5K
Oct 2026-$3.1K
Nov 2026+$1.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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