rivomarkets

michael.alvarez

+$2.4K
Tracked Trades
584
First Seen
Dec 29, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
554

michael.alvarez is a Kalshi trader with 584 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 101 wins and 170 losses on settled markets, $2.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Barcelona + Over 1.5 goals scored on Sep 19.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$105.5K
Typical trade
$48
Copy score
32/100
Kalshi rank
#1,602

Profit over time

+$7.3K-$935
Dec 29Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢14610%11%+1 pts
20 to 40¢8730%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢13552%39%-13 pts
60 to 80¢13565%36%-29 pts
Over 80¢8191%91%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $914620%-$71
$9 to $4814628%-$568
$48 to $9714624%-$1.5K
$97 to $6.9K14665%+$4.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports2356%-$3.7K
Culture1267%+$414

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied michael.alvarez

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$7189
Profit
on $26900 staked
101-168
Record
38% win rate
-27%
Return
210 still open
Profit over time269 settled trades
+$632-$7.2K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$8.4K
Max drawdown
832% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.57×
Profit factor
$9.6K won vs $16.8K lost
-13.6 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
43
Deepest drawdown
206 trades

By category

culture12 settled-16%
sports18 settled-18%
other239 settled-28%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

150 open positions worth $24.6K

The markets michael.alvarez is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what michael.alvarez is holding

Recent positions

Parlay: Barcelona + Over 1.5 goals scored
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 73¢
BUYYES$7.9KOpen
Parlay: Arsenal + Barcelona
Sep 19, avg 47¢
BUYYES$964Open
yes Dortmund,yes Barcelona
Sep 19, avg 30¢
BUYYES$95Open
See every position across 316 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $664 on Yes, Aug 24
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $962 on Yes, Aug 27
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    yes Dortmund,yes Manchester City
    $475 on Yes, Sep 8
    +$1.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points3100%+$1.3K
Bayern Munich wins40%-$3.5K
Juventus wins1100%+$873
Portland wins10100%+$77
Reg Time: Manchester City wins4100%+$475

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$10
Jan 2026-$13
Aug 2026+$4.4K
Sep 2026-$2.0K

Similar Kalshi traders

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