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Stats as of
michaelmakesbets
-$1.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 867
- First Seen
- Nov 27, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 20, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 22% won · 351 settled · +$1.5K
michaelmakesbets is a Kalshi trader with 867 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 227 wins and 562 losses on settled markets, -$1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026QLF5VDWRGWNWYZ2A-ACA2W26DU on Oct 20.
- Win rate
- 29%
- Return on settled
- -5%
- Money traded
- $34.0K
- Typical trade
- $9.68
- Avg entry
- 22¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,826
Profit over time
+$1.2K-$5.4K
Nov 27Oct 20
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3028%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢23030%30%+0 pts
40 to 60¢20349%43%-6 pts
60 to 80¢7767%56%-10 pts
Over 80¢5591%79%-13 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $521713%-$184.70
$5 to $1021728%-$140.56
$10 to $3521738%-$483.67
$36 to $2.0K21637%-$408.71
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays39322%+$1.5K
Soccer24632%-$2.0K
MMA9844%-$304.60
NFL2537%-$170.12
Commodities6231%-$177.36
Tennis913%-$32.32
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied michaelmakesbets
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$1,576.60
Profit
on $31,400.00 staked
97-217
Record
31% win rate
-5%
Return
+$1.0K-$3.1K
Aug 3Oct 19
-$5.1K
Max drawdown
285% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$20.1K won vs $21.7K lost
-0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 31¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 163 trades
By category
finance20 settled+41%
sports288 settled-8%
crypto5 settled-35%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026QLF5VDWRGWNWYZ2A-ACA2W26DU
Oct 20
Washington wins
Oct 20
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RP5JTGBOLMSZUGOG-GDAXRL4CD
Oct 20
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.2Kyes Brighton,yes Arsenal,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Kansas City,yes San Francisco,yes Kenneth Walker III: 50+,yes Inter,yes Roma$187.59 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 17
- 2+$1.3KManchester City vs Real Madrid Winner?$283.35 on Yes at 18¢, Mar 17
- 3+$994.38Real Madrid vs Atletico Winner?$976.62 on Yes at 50¢, Mar 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Mallorca vs Real Madrid Winner?65¢20%-$2.1K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RP5JTGBOLMSZUGOG-GDAXRL4CD1+$0.00
Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals61¢540%+$338.50
Real Madrid vs Atletico Winner?50¢5100%+$994.38
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026QLF5VDWRGWNWYZ2A-ACA2W26DU50¢1100%+$985.36
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 23Oct 20
Profit by month
Nov 2025-$9.48
Dec 2025-$9.38
Feb 2026-$310.12
Mar 2026+$1.4K
Apr 2026-$2.8K
May 2026-$19.24
Jun 2026-$697.53
Jul 2026-$1.1K
Aug 2026-$187.21
Sep 2026-$977.46
Oct 2026+$3.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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