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Stats as of
misfit4woody
+$13.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 831
- First Seen
- Aug 31, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 8% won · 501 settled · +$13.3K
misfit4woody is a Kalshi trader with 831 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 89 wins and 604 losses on settled markets, $13.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Texas A&M wins by over 20.5 points,yes Arkansas wins by over 16.5 points,yes Missouri wins by over 13.5 points,yes Virginia Tech wins by over 20.5 points,yes San Diego St. wins by over 9.5 points,yes Virginia wins by over 16.5 points,yes Georgia Tech wins by over 8.5 points,yes Rhode Island wins by over 12.5 points,yes Iowa wins by over 12.5 points,yes UNLV wins by over 4.5 points,yes Duquesne wins by over 3.5 points,yes Kansas St. wins by over 4.5 points,yes Alabama wins by over 19.5 points,yes South Carolina wins by over 12.5 points,no North Florida wins by over 1.5 points,yes LSU wins by over 16.5 points,yes Boston College wins by over 12.5 points,yes Tennessee wins by over 15.5 points on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 13%
- Return on settled
- +143%
- Money traded
- $67.9K
- Typical trade
- $9.44
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #559
Profit over time
+$14.4K-$2.1K
Aug 31Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5256%6%-1 pts
20 to 40¢15828%25%-3 pts
40 to 60¢5148%51%+3 pts
60 to 80¢1971%33%-38 pts
Over 80¢7895%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $520812%-$198.71
$5 to $92087%-$951.74
$9 to $2220816%+$15.9K
$22 to $12K20718%-$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays5798%+$13.3K
Tennis9625%-$361.18
Soccer9823%+$114.75
Bitcoin4231%+$27.49
College football1025%-$52.58
Baseball350%-$11.44
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied misfit4woody
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$65,385.50
Profit
on $56,900.00 staked
65-504
Record
11% win rate
+115%
Return
+$65.4K-$15.8K
Aug 31Nov 2
-$17.5K
Max drawdown
4292% below peak
3.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.30×
Profit factor
$115.8K won vs $50.4K lost
-1.7 pts
Edge vs implied
11% won at 13¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 38
- Deepest drawdown
- 307 trades
By category
sports555 settled+118%
crypto13 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Texas A&M wins by over 20.5 points,yes Arkansas wins by over 16.5 points,yes Missouri wins by over 13.5 points,yes Virginia Tech wins by over 20.5 points,yes San Diego St. wins by over 9.5 points,yes Virginia wins by over 16.5 points,yes Georgia Tech wins by over 8.5 points,yes Rhode Island wins by over 12.5 points,yes Iowa wins by over 12.5 points,yes UNLV wins by over 4.5 points,yes Duquesne wins by over 3.5 points,yes Kansas St. wins by over 4.5 points,yes Alabama wins by over 19.5 points,yes South Carolina wins by over 12.5 points,no North Florida wins by over 1.5 points,yes LSU wins by over 16.5 points,yes Boston College wins by over 12.5 points,yes Tennessee wins by over 15.5 points
Nov 3, 2 fills
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VC5DLI4CE57PBGS7-43J67LDCU
Nov 3
yes Barcelona,no Feyenoord,no Manchester United,no Shakhtar,yes PSG,no Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals
Nov 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$15.6Kyes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 15+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 15+,yes Brandon Miller: 15+,yes Norman Powell: 15+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 20+,yes RJ Barrett: 10+,yes Alperen Sengun: 10+,yes Amen Thompson: 10+,yes Kevin Durant: 20+,yes Pascal Siakam: 15+,yes Trey Murphy III: 10+,yes Zion Williamson: 15+,yes Trae Young: 15+,yes Bam Adebayo: 15+,yes Giannis Antetokounmpo: 20+,yes Anthony Edwards: 20+,yes LaMelo Ball: 15+,yes Devin Booker: 15+,yes Dillon Brooks: 10+,yes Deni Avdija: 15+,yes Ty Jerome: 15+,yes Keyonte George: 15+,yes Lauri Markkanen: 15+,yes Julius Randle: 4+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 4+,yes Moussa Diabaté: 6+,yes Jalen Smith: 4+,yes Jakob Poeltl: 4+,yes Scottie Barnes: 4+,yes Alperen Sengun: 6+,yes Amen Thompson: 4+,yes Ivica Zubac: 8+,yes Zion Williamson: 2+,yes Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 6+,yes Anthony Davis: 8+,yes Alex Sarr: 6+,yes Bam Adebayo: 6+,yes Giannis Antetokounmpo: 6+,yes Rudy Gobert: 8+,yes Zach Edey: 6+$18.78 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 21
- 2+$693.71yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored$19.25 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 15
- 3+$507.17Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins$152.80 on Yes at 23¢, Oct 16
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 15+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 15+,yes Brandon Miller: 15+,yes Norman Powell: 15+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 20+,yes RJ Barrett: 10+,yes Alperen Sengun: 10+,yes Amen Thompson: 10+,yes Kevin Durant: 20+,yes Pascal Siakam: 15+,yes Trey Murphy III: 10+,yes Zion Williamson: 15+,yes Trae Young: 15+,yes Bam Adebayo: 15+,yes Giannis Antetokounmpo: 20+,yes Anthony Edwards: 20+,yes LaMelo Ball: 15+,yes Devin Booker: 15+,yes Dillon Brooks: 10+,yes Deni Avdija: 15+,yes Ty Jerome: 15+,yes Keyonte George: 15+,yes Lauri Markkanen: 15+,yes Julius Randle: 4+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 4+,yes Moussa Diabaté: 6+,yes Jalen Smith: 4+,yes Jakob Poeltl: 4+,yes Scottie Barnes: 4+,yes Alperen Sengun: 6+,yes Amen Thompson: 4+,yes Ivica Zubac: 8+,yes Zion Williamson: 2+,yes Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 6+,yes Anthony Davis: 8+,yes Alex Sarr: 6+,yes Bam Adebayo: 6+,yes Giannis Antetokounmpo: 6+,yes Rudy Gobert: 8+,yes Zach Edey: 6+0¢2100%+$15.6K
yes Liverpool,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Stuttgart0¢20%-$5.41
yes Vasteraas,yes Stuttgart,yes Broendby,yes Ind. del Valle,no Bolton wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes GA Eagles,yes Granada,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Guimaraes,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Melgar,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Al Ahli Saudi,no Tie,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Alanyaspor0¢20%-$9.00
yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score1¢20%-$20.75
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score3¢20%-$102.65
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$9.50
Sep 2026-$1.1K
Oct 2026+$13.8K
Nov 2026+$278.69
Kalshi leaderboards
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