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Stats as of
moon.straw
+$3.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 104
- First Seen
- Jun 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 28, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 75% won · 32 settled · +$3.5K
moon.straw is a Kalshi trader with 104 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 47 wins and 20 losses on settled markets, $3.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 28.
- Win rate
- 70%
- Return on settled
- +25%
- Money traded
- $24.8K
- Typical trade
- $118.80
- Avg entry
- 55¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,946
Profit over time
+$3.6K-$56.00
Jun 18Oct 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢69%33%+25 pts
20 to 40¢731%50%+19 pts
40 to 60¢2152%58%+6 pts
60 to 80¢2969%79%+10 pts
Over 80¢4195%87%-8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $492674%+$148.16
$49 to $1182637%-$775.63
$120 to $2932681%+$773.92
$307 to $1.2K26100%+$3.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin5375%+$3.5K
Soccer5166%+$124.71
Side taken
Yes 76%24% No
If you had copied moon.straw
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,079.45
Profit
on $2,600.00 staked
18-8
Record
69% win rate
+42%
Return
+$1.1K+$0.00
Oct 12Oct 26
-$261.11
Max drawdown
25% below peak
4.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.35×
Profit factor
$1.9K won vs $800.00 lost
+11.8 pts
Edge vs implied
69% won at 57¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 2
- Deepest drawdown
- 4 trades
By category
crypto26 settled+42%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 28
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 28
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 28, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.1KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$954.27 on No at 47¢, Oct 28
- 2+$564.31BTC price up in next 15 mins?$500.43 on No at 47¢, Oct 28
- 3+$529.82BTC price up in next 15 mins?$558.98 on Yes at 51¢, Oct 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?61¢5375%+$3.5K
Colombia vs Congo DR Winner?65¢3100%+$262.79
Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner?55¢3100%+$279.95
Uruguay vs Spain Winner?73¢4100%+$84.32
Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance80¢2100%+$31.56
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 31Oct 28
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$333.46
Jul 2026-$208.75
Oct 2026+$3.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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