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Stats as of

mrpickz

-$3.3K
Tracked Trades
828
First Seen
Mar 26, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Baseball
52% won · 50 settled · +$5.6K

mrpickz is a Kalshi trader with 828 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 196 wins and 499 losses on settled markets, -$3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 3.

Win rate
28%
Return on settled
-3%
Money traded
$135.3K
Typical trade
$90.64
Avg entry
18¢
Kalshi rank
#6,327

Profit over time

+$12.5K-$5.0K
Mar 26Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3029%8%-1 pts
20 to 40¢24530%27%-3 pts
40 to 60¢19149%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢6567%69%+2 pts
Over 80¢2589%78%-11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3820721%-$44.13
$38 to $9020729%-$802.32
$91 to $18820730%-$3.5K
$188 to $3.6K20733%+$1.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays28211%-$1.7K
Bitcoin32344%+$633.83
Baseball5152%+$5.6K
Commodities6530%-$1.4K
NFL1725%+$428.24
Soccer2818%-$2.9K

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied mrpickz

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$2,583.76
Profit
on $43,100.00 staked
126-305
Record
29% win rate
-6%
Return
Profit over time431 settled trades
+$4.6K-$3.2K
Aug 3Nov 2
-$7.9K
Max drawdown
173% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.92×
Profit factor
$27.9K won vs $30.5K lost
-1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
29% won at 31¢ avg
Longest losing streak
28
Deepest drawdown
286 trades

By category

other143 settled+4%
crypto174 settled-0%
finance26 settled-3%
sports88 settled-34%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 3, 2 fills
Sold Yessold 79¢$599.94Exited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 3, 5 fills
No24¢$180.64-$180.64
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 3
No18¢$1.89-$1.89
See every position across 541 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    no Over 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings,yes Brandon Marsh: 3+,yes Junior Caminero: 3+,yes Fernando Tatis Jr.: 3+
    $233.92 on Yes at 3¢, Aug 21
    +$7.1K
  2. 2
    yes San Diego,yes Wilyer Abreu: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 3+,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored
    $233.89 on Yes at 5¢, Aug 21
    +$5.0K
  3. 3
    yes Tampa Bay,yes Junior Caminero: 2+,yes Henry Bolte: 3+,yes Pete Crow-Armstrong: 2+
    $234.11 on Yes at 6¢, Aug 23
    +$3.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?44¢32344%+$633.83
yes Tampa Bay,yes Boston,yes Detroit,yes San Diego,yes Chicago WS,yes San Francisco2¢20%-$91.63
Silver price up in next 15 mins?39¢1545%-$604.63
Gold price up in next 15 mins?13¢1913%-$396.80
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S20267CB38CD5E3A-90B86C1880141¢10%-$2.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$439.74
Jun 2026-$2.0K
Jul 2026-$1.4K
Aug 2026+$10.2K
Sep 2026-$4.8K
Oct 2026-$6.4K
Nov 2026+$1.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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