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Stats as of
mstadter77
-$3.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 62
- First Seen
- Apr 9, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 30, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 22% won · 37 settled · +$3.7K
mstadter77 is a Kalshi trader with 62 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 10 wins and 35 losses on settled markets, -$3.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: no Baylor wins by over 2.5 points,yes Tulane wins by over 10.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 11.5 points,yes Georgia over 34.5 points on Oct 30.
- Win rate
- 22%
- Return on settled
- -14%
- Money traded
- $35.4K
- Typical trade
- $239.49
- Avg entry
- 27¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,082
Profit over time
+$5.0K-$5.4K
Apr 9Oct 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢238%5%-3 pts
20 to 40¢1531%50%+19 pts
40 to 60¢1250%18%-32 pts
60 to 80¢165%
Over 80¢1192%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$8 to $94168%-$535.09
$94 to $2441623%+$1.5K
$267 to $8191533%-$696.79
$870 to $2.9K1530%-$3.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays4922%+$3.8K
MMA10%-$2.9K
Baseball10%-$2.9K
College football725%-$650.09
NBA10%-$949.32
NFL350%+$132.44
Side taken
Yes 74%26% No
If you had copied mstadter77
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$597.83
Profit
on $3,100.00 staked
6-25
Record
19% win rate
-19%
Return
+$0.00-$1.2K
Oct 12Oct 26
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.76×
Profit factor
$1.9K won vs $2.5K lost
-2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
19% won at 21¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 23 trades
By category
sports30 settled-23%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
no Baylor wins by over 2.5 points,yes Tulane wins by over 10.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 11.5 points,yes Georgia over 34.5 points
Oct 30
yes Green Bay,yes Matthew Golden: 50+,yes Tucker Kraft: 40+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 2+
Oct 30
yes Green Bay,yes Tetairoa McMillan: 70+,yes Christian Watson: 60+,yes Matthew Golden: 25+,yes Tucker Kraft: 30+,yes Josh Jacobs: 50+,yes Christian Watson: 1+,yes Over 46.5 points
Oct 29
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.1Kyes Phoenix,yes Los Angeles L,yes Dallas wins by over 11.5 points,no Portland wins by over 20.5 points$1.9K on Yes at 32¢, Apr 13
- 2+$3.2Kyes Kevin Durant: 20+,yes New York wins by over 4.5 points,yes Houston wins by over 4.5 points,yes Over 210.5 points scored$929.25 on Yes at 23¢, Apr 9
- 3+$2.2Kyes Over 229.5 points,yes Dallas,yes Tanner McKee: 175+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 60+,yes Javonte Williams: 1+$243.50 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 26
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Jiri Prochazka win the Prochazka vs Ulberg professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 11, 2026?50¢10%-$2.9K
Houston vs Seattle Winner?49¢10%-$2.9K
yes Patrick Mahomes: 200+,yes Cooper Kupp: 2+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 7+,yes Travis Kelce: 40+,no Seattle wins by over 3.5 points,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+4¢20%-$91.88
yes USC,yes Kentucky,yes BYU wins by over 6.5 points,no Oklahoma wins by over 3.5 points,no Oregon wins by over 14.5 points,no South Carolina wins by over 3.5 points5¢20%-$94.40
yes Los Angeles D,yes Over 5.5 runs scored49¢10%-$1.9K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 2Oct 30
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$4.3K
Oct 2026+$863.69
Kalshi leaderboards
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