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Stats as of
Murc99
murc99
+$1.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 972
- First Seen
- Oct 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 52% won · 347 settled · +$2.3K
Murc99 is a Kalshi trader with 972 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 376 wins and 444 losses on settled markets, $1.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FRCABLF27CXP5NOX-OYQQXM7UF on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 46%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $39.0K
- Typical trade
- $47.74
- Avg entry
- 13¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,470
Profit over time
+$2.0K-$2.3K
Oct 17Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1547%11%+4 pts
20 to 40¢10430%36%+6 pts
40 to 60¢21450%55%+4 pts
60 to 80¢7366%63%-3 pts
Over 80¢1091%83%-7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2413914%-$111.09
$24 to $4813943%+$1.3K
$48 to $9613953%-$191.54
$96 to $3.0K13857%+$559.04
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer15054%+$2.3K
NBA14350%-$530.31
Parlays19829%-$384.93
NFL3032%-$603.63
Baseball1571%+$439.75
MMA1863%+$404.02
Side taken
Yes 92%8% No
If you had copied Murc99
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$2,701.22
Profit
on $30,600.00 staked
123-183
Record
40% win rate
-9%
Return
+$0.00-$4.3K
Oct 12Nov 2
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
1462% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.85×
Profit factor
$15.6K won vs $18.3K lost
-0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
40% won at 40¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 196 trades
By category
sports304 settled-9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FRCABLF27CXP5NOX-OYQQXM7UF
Nov 3
Boston wins
Nov 3, 4 fills
Roma wins
Nov 3, 3 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.2KPhiladelphia wins$673.36 on Yes at 36¢, Oct 23
- 2+$807.81PSG wins$1.5K on Yes at 64¢, Oct 22
- 3+$676.37Milwaukee wins$463.45 on Yes at 41¢, Oct 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FRCABLF27CXP5NOX-OYQQXM7UF93¢1100%+$234.94
Philadelphia wins39¢18100%+$1.9K
Liverpool To Advance47¢7100%+$621.11
PSG wins63¢4100%+$954.27
KXNBATOTAL-26OCT16BOSPHI-24786¢10%-$1.3K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$2.0K
Nov 2026-$400.26
Kalshi leaderboards
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