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Stats as of
national.carp4508
+$4.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 395
- First Seen
- Jun 27, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 2, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 46% won · 74 settled · +$6.6K
national.carp4508 is a Kalshi trader with 395 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 98 wins and 239 losses on settled markets, $4.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXARGNACBGAME-26NOV02ARCAP-CAP on Nov 2.
- Win rate
- 29%
- Return on settled
- +30%
- Money traded
- $29.7K
- Typical trade
- $18.89
- Avg entry
- 26¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,665
Profit over time
+$4.8K-$3.5K
Jun 27Nov 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1778%10%+2 pts
20 to 40¢8830%36%+5 pts
40 to 60¢7049%58%+9 pts
60 to 80¢2168%71%+3 pts
Over 80¢3996%100%+4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5994%-$54.67
$5 to $199921%+$80.30
$19 to $489944%+$911.20
$48 to $2.0K9858%+$3.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer29025%-$1.0K
Tennis9146%+$6.6K
Parlays829%-$775.64
Cricket30%-$24.93
Baseball30%-$15.25
Side taken
Yes 91%9% No
If you had copied national.carp4508
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$215.14
Profit
on $20,200.00 staked
48-154
Record
24% win rate
+1%
Return
+$3.8K-$372.73
Aug 10Oct 26
-$4.8K
Max drawdown
116% below peak
0.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.01×
Profit factor
$15.6K won vs $15.4K lost
+1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
24% won at 22¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 13
- Deepest drawdown
- 166 trades
By category
sports202 settled+1%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXARGNACBGAME-26NOV02ARCAP-CAP
Nov 2
Yaroslav Demin wins
Nov 1
Aristarkh Safonov wins
Oct 31, 14 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.1KAristarkh Safonov wins$462.69 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 31
- 2+$678.27Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?$972.02 on Yes at 59¢, Jul 18
- 3+$541.16Real Madrid wins$190.14 on Yes at 26¢, Oct 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Aristarkh Safonov wins16¢15100%+$5.8K
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?59¢2100%+$678.27
England vs Argentina: To Advance55¢30%-$1.9K
Mexico vs England: To Advance52¢2100%+$535.84
yes Argentina advances,yes Colombia advances46¢40%-$963.95
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 5Nov 2
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$157.10
Jul 2026-$2.4K
Aug 2026-$29.87
Oct 2026+$6.8K
Nov 2026+$261.97
Kalshi leaderboards
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