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Stats as of

native.earthworm8825

+$304.17
Tracked Trades
91
First Seen
Jun 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 24, 2026
Best In Parlays
14% won · 74 settled · +$395.24

native.earthworm8825 is a Kalshi trader with 91 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 65 losses on settled markets, $304.17 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VCT5VGB4YWKZHHZ7-JFA45HSRM on Oct 24.

Win rate
14%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$21.4K
Typical trade
$81.49
Avg entry
8¢
Kalshi rank
#4,456

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$1.3K
Jun 22Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢608%10%+2 pts
20 to 40¢1228%17%-12 pts
40 to 60¢343%67%+24 pts
60 to 80¢271%
Over 80¢1496%100%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $27230%-$333.20
$28 to $812317%+$398.43
$93 to $2132322%+$1.1K
$227 to $2.1K2229%-$904.52

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays8914%+$395.24
Soccer250%-$91.07

Side taken

Yes 84%16% No

If you had copied native.earthworm8825

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$305.84
Profit
on $5,700.00 staked
8-49
Record
14% win rate
+5%
Return
Profit over time57 settled trades
+$1.1K-$600.00
Aug 17Oct 19
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
82% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.06×
Profit factor
$5.2K won vs $4.9K lost
+2.0 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 12¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
21 trades

By category

sports55 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VCT5VGB4YWKZHHZ7-JFA45HSRM
Oct 24
Sold Nosold 94¢$1.8KExited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VCT5VGB4YWKZHHZ7-JFA45HSRM
Oct 23
Yes29¢$550.70-$550.70
yes Coventry,yes Both Teams To Score,yes 7+ corners,yes Over 0.5 1H goals scored,yes Monza,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Oct 19
Sold Nosold 100¢$370.46Exited
See every position across 75 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Arsenal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes PSG,yes Inter,yes Napoli
    $138.61 on Yes at 14¢, Oct 9
    +$888.13
  2. 2
    yes USA,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Spain,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored
    $213.40 on Yes at 20¢, Sep 26
    +$848.29
  3. 3
    yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
    $95.48 on Yes at 10¢, Aug 29
    +$840.60
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026VCT5VGB4YWKZHHZ7-JFA45HSRM29¢20%-$550.70
Parlay: Bayern Munich + Manchester City + PSG + Milan1+$0.00
yes Nottingham Forest,yes Manchester City,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored3¢20%-$65.57
yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Manchester City,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored2¢20%-$24.96
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Congo DR,yes Portugal,yes Argentina12¢20%-$139.35

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 27Oct 24

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$87.36
Jul 2026-$144.84
Aug 2026-$314.23
Sep 2026+$1.2K
Oct 2026-$327.07

Kalshi leaderboards

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