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Stats as of
naturalGambler
naturalgambler
+$1.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 831
- First Seen
- Aug 25, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 28, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 6% won · 470 settled · +$5.2K
naturalGambler is a Kalshi trader with 831 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 74 wins and 637 losses on settled markets, $1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 28.
- Win rate
- 10%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $331.0K
- Typical trade
- $91.51
- Avg entry
- 5¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,104
Profit over time
+$8.0K-$6.1K
Aug 25Oct 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5875%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢10728%23%-4 pts
40 to 60¢4650%45%-5 pts
60 to 80¢1670%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢7595%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $92083%-$404.20
$9 to $922087%+$1.9K
$92 to $19320811%+$4.8K
$194 to $40K20726%-$4.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays5336%+$5.2K
Bitcoin20421%-$1.8K
Soccer8117%-$679.51
College football80%-$704.11
Ethereum30%-$363.39
Tennis10%-$14.17
Side taken
Yes 79%21% No
If you had copied naturalGambler
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$878.43
Profit
on $51,400.00 staked
51-463
Record
10% win rate
+2%
Return
+$7.8K-$3.0K
Aug 24Oct 26
-$13.2K
Max drawdown
113% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$47.2K won vs $46.3K lost
-1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
10% won at 11¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 85
- Deepest drawdown
- 161 trades
By category
sports310 settled+14%
other185 settled-12%
crypto18 settled-57%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 28
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 28
yes Torino wins 1st Half,yes Como
Oct 27
Biggest wins
- 1+$12.4Kyes Aston Villa,no Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored$177.39 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 13
- 2+$11.3Kno France,yes Montenegro,yes Finland,yes Belgium wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Poland wins by more than 1.5 goals$125.85 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 2
- 3+$5.5KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026EA6F74570F9-86F89F619AA$980.31 on Yes at 15¢, Sep 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?17¢20421%-$1.8K
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Scotland,yes England wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Iceland wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored0¢30%-$92.91
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Inter wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored1¢20%-$186.05
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Bayern Munich,yes Inter,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored0¢30%-$10.50
yes Porto wins 1st Half,yes Manchester City wins 1st Half,yes Roma wins 1st Half,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Napoli,yes Tie,yes Lille,yes Porto wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Dortmund wins by more than 1.5 goals0¢20%-$44.34
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 31Oct 28
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$5.1K
Sep 2026-$320.07
Oct 2026+$7.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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