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Stats as of

NearsightedCapital

nearsightedcapital

-$180.92
Tracked Trades
649
First Seen
Nov 16, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 30, 2026
Best In Parlays
29% won · 139 settled · +$8.2K

NearsightedCapital is a Kalshi trader with 649 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 186 wins and 374 losses on settled markets, -$180.92 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Buffalo,yes Los Angeles R,yes Minnesota,yes Over 49.5 points,yes Over 42.5 points,yes Over 40.5 points on Oct 30.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
+-0%
Money traded
$59.9K
Typical trade
$46.80
Avg entry
32¢
Kalshi rank
#5,404

Profit over time

+$1.8K-$3.3K
Nov 16Oct 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢11213%15%+3 pts
20 to 40¢23330%27%-3 pts
40 to 60¢17949%39%-10 pts
60 to 80¢8767%64%-2 pts
Over 80¢3891%67%-24 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2416316%-$238.82
$24 to $4716235%-$858.78
$47 to $9516242%+$1.5K
$95 to $3.6K16240%-$578.87

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL12832%-$2.0K
Parlays14729%+$8.2K
Soccer5727%-$3.3K
College football3336%-$221.25
Tennis6548%-$737.70
NBA5829%-$844.80

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied NearsightedCapital

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$815.10
Profit
on $14,900.00 staked
55-94
Record
37% win rate
+5%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time149 settled trades
+$1.8K-$54.48
Sep 21Oct 26
-$2.7K
Max drawdown
130% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.09×
Profit factor
$10.2K won vs $9.4K lost
-1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 38¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
59 trades

By category

sports135 settled+11%
crypto13 settled-48%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $387.50

The markets NearsightedCapital is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what NearsightedCapital is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266H3SU5DJQB35DIJU-K7EBV7JJP
Oct 30
Sold Nosold 86¢$2.6KExited
yes Green Bay,yes Tucker Kraft: 40+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 50+,no Over 46.5 points
Oct 29
Yes9¢$290.25+$2.8K
Chicago wins
Oct 29
Yes3¢$1.50-$1.50
See every position across 478 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Atlanta,yes Over 48.5 points scored
    $470.98 on Yes at 13¢, Dec 29
    +$3.1K
  2. 2
    yes Green Bay,yes Tucker Kraft: 40+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 50+,no Over 46.5 points
    $290.25 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 29
    +$2.8K
  3. 3
    Will the Seattle win the 2026 Pro Football Championship?
    $476.10 on Yes at 26¢, Jan 26
    +$1.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the San Francisco win the 2026 Pro Football Championship?13¢40%-$565.40
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266H3SU5DJQB35DIJU-K7EBV7JJP1+$0.00
Al Ahli Saudi vs Al Nassr Winner?58¢30%-$1.5K
Seattle at San Francisco Winner?44¢350%-$1.2K
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2025 meeting?44¢5100%+$744.50

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 2Oct 30

Profit by month

Nov 2025+$826.39
Dec 2025+$635.04
Jan 2026-$3.0K
Jul 2026-$1.0K
Sep 2026+$72.51
Oct 2026+$2.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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