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Stats as of

nick0404

+$844.96
Tracked Trades
141
First Seen
Jan 24, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In Parlays
36% won · 11 settled · +$1.3K

nick0404 is a Kalshi trader with 141 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 37 wins and 57 losses on settled markets, $844.96 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026IM67OF5SFK3SMCI5-LWVK3CIOG on Oct 31.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$51.7K
Typical trade
$191.55
Avg entry
30¢
Kalshi rank
#4,574

Profit over time

+$1.6K-$2.6K
Jan 24Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢368%5%-3 pts
20 to 40¢3929%27%-3 pts
40 to 60¢2849%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢2468%62%-6 pts
Over 80¢1489%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $513613%-$625.63
$55 to $1923528%-$685.14
$192 to $4723552%-$1.1K
$479 to $9.9K3565%+$3.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays1836%+$1.3K
MMA4654%+$1.1K
Bitcoin3050%+$156.93
Soccer850%-$276.95
Baseball1723%+$41.21
NFL1013%-$752.36

Side taken

Yes 62%38% No

If you had copied nick0404

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$212.81
Profit
on $3,300.00 staked
14-19
Record
42% win rate
-6%
Return
Profit over time33 settled trades
+$271.33-$275.03
Aug 10Oct 26
-$741.27
Max drawdown
200% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.89×
Profit factor
$1.7K won vs $1.9K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 42¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
9 trades

By category

sports33 settled-6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026IM67OF5SFK3SMCI5-LWVK3CIOG
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 76¢$2.2KExited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026TZBKG7O5QXJYFDVU-AX5BOSB4V
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 84¢$2.9KExited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264XDLIYYUWVFZDIPS-LQY3CKF5G
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 91¢$9.9KExited
See every position across 83 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Parlay: Alex Volkanovski + Petr Yan
    $934.36 on Yes at 30¢, Oct 24
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    Raul Rosas Jr wins
    $935.70 on Yes at 39¢, Sep 27
    +$1.5K
  3. 3
    Milwaukee wins
    $478.15 on Yes at 30¢, Oct 25
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264XDLIYYUWVFZDIPS-LQY3CKF5G1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026TZBKG7O5QXJYFDVU-AX5BOSB4V1+$0.00
Bitcoin price on Jan 25, 2026?74¢1289%+$751.94
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?41¢40%-$988.35
Will Ian Machado Garry win the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight scheduled for Aug 15, 2026?26¢20%-$670.28

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$745.21
Feb 2026-$218.03
Mar 2026+$612.08
Apr 2026-$795.21
Jul 2026+$281.54
Aug 2026-$1.3K
Sep 2026+$608.49
Oct 2026+$2.4K

Kalshi leaderboards

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