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Stats as of

nickthorp

-$3.2K
Tracked Trades
145
First Seen
Nov 8, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 29, 2026
Best In College football
100% won · 13 settled · +$931.62

nickthorp is a Kalshi trader with 145 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 74 wins and 48 losses on settled markets, -$3.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan? on Oct 29.

Win rate
61%
Return on settled
-11%
Money traded
$46.9K
Typical trade
$129.27
Avg entry
53¢
Kalshi rank
#6,065

Profit over time

+$1.7K-$4.0K
Nov 8Aug 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢108%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢1632%14%-18 pts
40 to 60¢4350%46%-4 pts
60 to 80¢3869%73%+4 pts
Over 80¢3889%97%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $953745%-$576.08
$96 to $1293666%+$19.68
$147 to $4453657%-$864.99
$472 to $7.0K3679%-$1.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US politics1420%-$3.6K
Cricket3142%-$1.1K
NBA2763%-$461.81
US elections5+$0.00
College basketball2375%+$489.59
NFL2172%+$190.79

Side taken

Yes 83%17% No

If you had copied nickthorp

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

3 of 5 needed have resolved. 14 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $5.6K

The markets nickthorp is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what nickthorp is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the maximum temperature be >81° on Aug 15, 2026?
Aug 15
Yes1¢$18.70-$18.70
Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Aug 15, 2026?
Aug 15, 6 fills
Yes4¢$18.74-$18.74
Will the maximum temperature be >82° on Aug 16, 2026?
Aug 15
Yes1¢$46.76-$46.76
See every position across 85 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Duquesne at Eastern Michigan Winner?
    $891.63 on Yes at 56¢, Dec 9
    +$688.37
  2. 2
    Phoenix vs Minnesota Winner?
    $238.20 on Yes at 30¢, Dec 9
    +$555.80
  3. 3
    Will Dharmendra Pradhan announce their departure as Minister of Education before Sep 1, 2026?
    $580.33 on Yes at 51¢, Jul 24
    +$551.68
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Feb 1, 2026?49¢50%-$3.5K
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan?69¢2+$0.00
Duke at Virginia Winner?82¢6100%+$435.65
Miami vs Orlando Winner?72¢450%-$697.56
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Ohio45¢2+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 1Oct 29

Profit by month

Nov 2025-$632.01
Dec 2025+$1.2K
Jan 2026-$3.5K
Feb 2026-$443.58
Apr 2026-$143.76
May 2026-$523.58
Jul 2026+$1.0K
Aug 2026-$280.51

Kalshi leaderboards

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