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Stats as of
noel307
+$525.14
- Tracked Trades
- 199
- First Seen
- Jun 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 8% won · 143 settled · +$519.81
noel307 is a Kalshi trader with 199 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 154 losses on settled markets, $525.14 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Real Madrid,yes Dortmund,yes Porto,yes Liverpool,yes Eindhoven,yes Manchester City,yes Como,yes Arsenal,yes Viking on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 8%
- Return on settled
- +42%
- Money traded
- $10.2K
- Typical trade
- $9.30
- Avg entry
- 1¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,355
Profit over time
+$625.00-$171.00
Jun 24Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1695%6%+2 pts
20 to 40¢526%50%+24 pts
40 to 60¢244%50%+6 pts
60 to 80¢179%
Over 80¢2294%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5502%+$4.97
$5 to $9508%+$56.89
$9 to $9508%+$295.07
$9 to $2.5K4917%+$168.21
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays1728%+$519.81
Soccer148%-$22.52
Baseball50%-$32.53
College football20%-$17.46
NFL620%+$77.84
Side taken
Yes 84%16% No
If you had copied noel307
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$5,498.53
Profit
on $14,200.00 staked
12-130
Record
8% win rate
+39%
Return
+$6.4K-$900.00
Aug 24Nov 2
-$3.3K
Max drawdown
46% below peak
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.42×
Profit factor
$18.5K won vs $13.0K lost
+3.2 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 5¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 30
- Deepest drawdown
- 94 trades
By category
sports142 settled+39%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Real Madrid,yes Dortmund,yes Porto,yes Liverpool,yes Eindhoven,yes Manchester City,yes Como,yes Arsenal,yes Viking
Nov 3
yes LASK,yes Tie,yes Barcelona,yes Tie,yes Inter,yes Roma
Nov 3
yes LASK,yes Bayern Munich,yes Barcelona,yes Bodoe/Glimt,yes Inter,yes Roma
Nov 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$336.59yes Tie,yes Wales$9.34 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 1
- 2+$194.17yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Napoli,yes PSG,yes Roma,no Liverpool wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Barcelona over 0.5 goals,yes Atletico over 0.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored$9.79 on Yes at 5¢, Oct 20
- 3+$157.78yes Michael Penix Jr.: 1+,yes Tyler Shough: 1+,yes Michael Penix Jr.: 200+,yes Tyler Shough: 225+,yes Drake London: 5+,yes Chris Olave: 5+,yes Drake London: 60+,yes Chris Olave: 90+,yes Brian Robinson: 25+,yes Bijan Robinson: 80+$9.36 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,yes Atlanta,yes Indiana,yes Detroit,yes San Antonio,yes Minnesota,yes Utah,yes New York,yes Portland,yes Toronto0¢20%-$9.25
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026NWIRLW6M4DJMDQ2T-6B4QPV5CK1+$0.00
yes Aston Villa,yes Tie,yes Club Brugge,yes Tie,yes Tie,yes Real Madrid,yes Tie1¢20%-$9.34
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202663O7RU3YISGKEUGJ-QXT23QFNO1+$0.00
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Real Madrid,no Club Brugge wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Como wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Lille wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored2¢20%-$9.33
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$46.98
Jul 2026-$17.74
Aug 2026-$36.78
Sep 2026+$30.58
Oct 2026+$554.60
Nov 2026+$41.46
Kalshi leaderboards
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