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Stats as of

Kalshi

not.average.joe

+$2.1K
Tracked Trades
372
First Seen
Dec 20, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 18, 2026
Best In Parlays
6% won · 81 settled · +$1.9K

not.average.joe is a Kalshi trader with 372 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 76 wins and 235 losses on settled markets, $2.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Dallas wins on Oct 18.

Win rate
24%
Return on settled
+20%
Money traded
$41.7K
Typical trade
$23.98
Avg entry
6¢
Kalshi rank
#2,733

Profit over time

+$2.1K-$2.1K
Dec 20Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1477%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢10930%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢9048%43%-6 pts
60 to 80¢967%67%+0 pts
Over 80¢1794%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $159311%-$318.26
$16 to $249328%+$2.2K
$24 to $489325%-$1.3K
$48 to $7.8K9337%+$1.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays966%+$1.9K
NFL27531%+$222.76
NBA1100%+$31.87

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied not.average.joe

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$5,202.74
Profit
on $10,900.00 staked
18-91
Record
17% win rate
+48%
Return
8 still open
Profit over time109 settled trades
+$5.2K-$4.2K
Sep 7Oct 12
-$4.4K
Max drawdown
5806% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.57×
Profit factor
$14.3K won vs $9.1K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 17¢ avg
Longest losing streak
38
Deepest drawdown
56 trades

By category

sports109 settled+48%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

8 open positions worth $161.59

The markets not.average.joe is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what not.average.joe is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Dallas wins
Oct 18
No49¢$144.83+$150.74
Christian Watson: 1st Touchdown
Oct 18
Yes9¢$23.50-$23.50
Tucker Kraft: 1st Touchdown
Oct 18
Yes7¢$23.47-$23.47
See every position across 217 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Arizona,yes Buffalo,yes Green Bay,yes Pittsburgh
    $93.48 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 18
    +$2.7K
  2. 2
    yes Aaron Rodgers: 225+,yes Christian Watson: 60+,yes J.K. Dobbins: 1+,yes Jaylen Warren: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+
    $43.87 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 11
    +$1.8K
  3. 3
    Jacksonville wins
    $16.84 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 11
    +$825.16
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Atlanta,yes Cleveland,yes Arizona,yes Pittsburgh,yes Las Vegas,yes Washington1¢20%-$93.83
yes CeeDee Lamb: 80+,yes Christian Watson: 80+,yes Germie Bernard: 50+,yes Trey McBride: 1+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 1+,yes Jaylen Warren: 1+1¢20%-$65.28
yes Arizona,yes Dallas,yes Green Bay,yes Jacksonville,yes Bo Nix: 225+,yes Bryce Young: 225+2¢20%-$93.88
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026FLDTOA4THMYI42PV-OMOTQNBOS1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026EFI5WNZATLV7WYIG-PCWDPJ7IA1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 21Oct 18

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$126.14
Jan 2026-$518.15
Feb 2026+$198.38
Jun 2026+$31.87
Sep 2026-$1.4K
Oct 2026+$4.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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