rivomarkets

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Stats as of

notaballer

+$61.37
Tracked Trades
910
First Seen
Oct 30, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 8, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
30% won · 145 settled · +$1.2K

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active crypto traders who bet one side: iihslak, silicon, successful.koi2475

notaballer is a Kalshi trader with 910 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 47 wins and 140 losses on settled markets, $61.37 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 8.

Win rate
25%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$32.0K
Typical trade
$6.76
Avg entry
26¢
Kalshi rank
#2,973

Profit over time

+$486.00-$1.7K
Nov 1Nov 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢11313%6%-7 pts
20 to 40¢10528%43%+15 pts
40 to 60¢7348%38%-11 pts
60 to 80¢47869%89%+20 pts
Over 80¢14186%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $022825%+$0.39
$0 to $722818%-$108.14
$7 to $2822734%+$128.08
$29 to $77922727%+$41.04

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin80931%+$1.3K
Parlays346%-$1.5K
College football1617%+$636.88
Commodities390%-$0.29
College basketball100%-$383.97
US elections2+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied notaballer

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$2,865.09
Profit
on $9,800.00 staked
19-79
Record
19% win rate
-29%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time98 settled trades
+$62.34-$2.9K
Oct 26Nov 2
-$3.5K
Max drawdown
5632% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.64×
Profit factor
$5.0K won vs $7.9K lost
-2.4 pts
Edge vs implied
19% won at 22¢ avg
Longest losing streak
27
Deepest drawdown
71 trades

By category

crypto54 settled+7%
sports40 settled-80%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $437.80

The markets notaballer is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what notaballer is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8
Sold Yessold 75¢$150.00Exited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8, 6 fills
Yes70¢sold 70¢$54.80+$23.50
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8, 3 fills
Sold Nosold 30¢$21.52Exited
See every position across 146 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXNCAAFTEAMTOTAL-26NOV05UTSAFAU-FAU58
    $700.00 on Yes at 50¢, Nov 6
    +$700.00
  2. 2
    Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?
    $503.07 on Yes at 44¢, Nov 6
    +$640.27
  3. 3
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KACWCASW6WFT2DPF-RGKFVIJKU
    $778.94 on Yes at 62¢, Nov 1
    +$485.57
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on Nov 6, 2026?29¢14419%+$534.88
BTC price up in next 15 mins?22¢9626%+$150.15
Bitcoin price on Nov 4, 2026?16¢8113%-$66.97
Bitcoin price range on Nov 6, 2026?23¢7146%+$398.77
Bitcoin price range on Nov 3, 2026?16¢510%-$197.13

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 11Nov 8

Profit by month

Nov 2026+$61.37

Kalshi leaderboards

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