rivomarkets

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Stats as of

notapredictionfish

+$417.87
Tracked Trades
673
First Seen
Jun 28, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026
Best In NFL
67% won ยท 30 settled ยท +$13.6K

notapredictionfish is a Kalshi trader with 673 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 181 wins and 189 losses on settled markets, $417.87 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? on Oct 28.

Win rate
49%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$308.2K
Typical trade
$91.00
Avg entry
57ยข
Kalshi rank
#4,325

Profit over time

+$597.00-$24.8K
Jun 28Oct 25

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข9513%16%+4 pts
20 to 40ยข12030%26%-4 pts
40 to 60ยข16351%50%+0 pts
60 to 80ยข15168%60%-8 pts
Over 80ยข14489%94%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2816935%-$72.47
$28 to $9116843%+$97.16
$92 to $26316850%-$1.2K
$268 to $15K16866%+$1.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Baseball32651%-$6.2K
US elections21851%-$6.0K
NFL4967%+$13.6K
Parlays5521%-$1.5K
World politics2+$0.00
Soccer1750%+$84.68

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied notapredictionfish

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$3,503.73
Profit
on $18,100.00 staked
88-93
Record
49% win rate
+19%
Return
18 still open
Profit over time181 settled trades
+$3.5K-$1.1K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
3.1ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.38ร—
Profit factor
$12.8K won vs $9.3K lost
+4.8 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 44ยข avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
22 trades

By category

sports46 settled+29%
other134 settled+16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

18 open positions worth $30.8K

The markets notapredictionfish is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what notapredictionfish is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Oct 28, 3 fills
Sold Nosold 76ยข$3.7KExited
New York G wins
Oct 25, 4 fills
Yes31ยข$3.4K+$7.3K
New York G wins
Oct 25
Sold Nosold 67ยข$4.3KExited
See every position across 334 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Cleveland wins
    $9.9K on Yes at 57ยข, Oct 9
    +$7.4K
  2. 2
    New York G wins
    $3.4K on Yes at 31ยข, Oct 25
    +$7.3K
  3. 3
    New York Y wins
    $9.2K on Yes at 63ยข, Sep 2
    +$5.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Cleveland wins58ยข3579%+$11.1K
Toronto wins80ยข350%-$14.6K
yes Cleveland,yes St. Louis89ยข3100%+$1.6K
New York G wins38ยข9100%+$8.3K
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio?65ยข3+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$537.43
Jul 2026-$5.2K
Aug 2026-$8.7K
Sep 2026-$6.2K
Oct 2026+$20.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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