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Stats as of
notdavid
+$314.06
- Tracked Trades
- 922
- First Seen
- Sep 17, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 66% won · 331 settled · +$1.4K
notdavid is a Kalshi trader with 922 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 417 wins and 248 losses on settled markets, $314.06 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Chicago over 7.5 points,yes Seattle over 7.5 points on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 63%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $40.9K
- Typical trade
- $12.57
- Avg entry
- 60¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,621
Profit over time
+$690.00-$1.2K
Sep 17Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1116%11%+5 pts
20 to 40¢7231%26%-5 pts
40 to 60¢16551%48%-3 pts
60 to 80¢10070%72%+2 pts
Over 80¢17192%95%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $615527%+$53.14
$6 to $1315556%+$80.01
$13 to $3515553%+$667.64
$36 to $1.6K15485%-$486.73
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin29159%+$1.4K
College football5968%-$681.36
NFL10065%+$67.21
Parlays4429%-$220.39
Baseball1854%-$149.44
NBA3050%-$64.27
Side taken
Yes 58%42% No
If you had copied notdavid
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$3,510.14
Profit
on $37,300.00 staked
223-150
Record
60% win rate
+9%
Return
+$3.5K-$660.74
Sep 14Nov 2
-$2.9K
Max drawdown
797% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.23×
Profit factor
$18.5K won vs $15.0K lost
+0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
60% won at 59¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 82 trades
By category
crypto168 settled+34%
sports193 settled-7%
finance12 settled-66%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Chicago over 7.5 points,yes Seattle over 7.5 points
Nov 3
Bitcoin price on Nov 2, 2026?
Nov 2
Bitcoin price on Nov 2, 2026?
Nov 2, 18 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$984.23Bitcoin price on Oct 29, 2026?$46.87 on No at 5¢, Oct 29
- 2+$101.91Emeka Egbuka: 15+ receiving yards$383.36 on Yes at 79¢, Oct 8
- 3+$97.24yes Chicago over 7.5 points,yes Seattle over 7.5 points$1.1K on Yes at 92¢, Nov 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on Nov 2, 2026?94¢13100%+$334.32
BTC price up in next 15 mins?45¢18944%+$196.15
Bitcoin price on Oct 25, 2026?95¢1893%+$122.74
Missouri St. over 41.5 points scored96¢20%-$958.59
Bitcoin price on Oct 26, 2026?73¢1450%-$331.41
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$184.92
Oct 2026-$337.78
Nov 2026+$466.92
Kalshi leaderboards
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