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Stats as of

noted.woodduck7039

+$2.0K
Tracked Trades
494
First Seen
Oct 4, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 18, 2026
Best In Parlays
30% won · 125 settled · +$1.3K

noted.woodduck7039 is a Kalshi trader with 494 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 165 wins and 190 losses on settled markets, $2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ZBJAWG3CV3DQ2DD3-ZGXNA66SP on Oct 18.

Win rate
46%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$22.3K
Typical trade
$9.33
Avg entry
27¢
Kalshi rank
#2,816

Profit over time

+$3.5K-$312.00
Oct 4Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1606%7%+2 pts
20 to 40¢7630%36%+6 pts
40 to 60¢8950%59%+9 pts
60 to 80¢9169%71%+2 pts
Over 80¢7889%80%-9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $212433%-$17.19
$2 to $912444%-$131.07
$9 to $2112338%+$154.06
$21 to $1.3K12371%+$2.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays14830%+$1.3K
Other crypto7943%-$254.45
XRP6259%+$109.69
Bitcoin7849%+$276.91
Ethereum6657%-$105.19
Commodities2772%+$30.77

Side taken

Yes 60%40% No

If you had copied noted.woodduck7039

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$752.13
Profit
on $25,100.00 staked
105-146
Record
42% win rate
-3%
Return
Profit over time251 settled trades
+$565.29-$1.5K
Sep 28Oct 12
-$3.1K
Max drawdown
296% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.95×
Profit factor
$13.8K won vs $14.6K lost
+3.2 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 39¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
139 trades

By category

crypto131 settled+2%
finance15 settled+0%
sports104 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
no Target Price: $719.90,no Target Price: $81,689.01,no Target Price: $0.0793581,no Target Price: $2,412.92,no Target Price: $78.9888,no Target Price: $4.9755,no Target Price: $103.7002,no Target Price: $1.2953,no Target Price: $1,137.5425
Oct 18, 2 fills
Yes54¢$978.63-$978.63
yes Target Price: $81,689.01,yes Target Price: $1.2953
Oct 18
Yes28¢$0.56-$0.56
yes Target Price: $719.56,no Target Price: $81,699.34,no Target Price: $0.0793257,no Target Price: $2,414.36,no Target Price: $79.0734,no Target Price: $4.9788,no Target Price: $103.7695,yes Target Price: $1.2946,no Target Price: $1,138.6662
Oct 18
Sold Nosold 84¢$59.81Exited
See every position across 221 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202672URD2ZB6L3PWNWM-OMPKQZEJW
    $770.78 on Yes at 46¢, Oct 18
    +$908.48
  2. 2
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026P3PLZBJ7EC6X2OFI-3SUXZLZUS
    $969.49 on Yes at 55¢, Oct 18
    +$783.66
  3. 3
    no Target Price: $722.07,no Target Price: $81,856.55,no Target Price: $0.0797520,no Target Price: $2,422.73,no Target Price: $79.2119,no Target Price: $5.0407,no Target Price: $104.4340,no Target Price: $1.3024,no Target Price: $1,151.3749
    $319.26 on Yes at 29¢, Oct 18
    +$769.16
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202672URD2ZB6L3PWNWM-OMPKQZEJW46¢2100%+$908.48
XRP price up in next 15 mins?56¢6259%+$109.69
yes Target Price: $719.56,yes Target Price: $81,699.34,yes Target Price: $0.0793257,yes Target Price: $2,414.36,yes Target Price: $79.0734,yes Target Price: $4.9788,yes Target Price: $103.7695,yes Target Price: $1.2946,yes Target Price: $1,138.666248¢30%-$519.02
BTC price up in next 15 mins?61¢7045%+$267.51
ETH price up in next 15 mins?53¢6657%-$105.19

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 21Oct 18

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$2.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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