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Stats as of
occasional.goat4985
+$3.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 175
- First Seen
- May 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 7% won · 151 settled · +$3.5K
occasional.goat4985 is a Kalshi trader with 175 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 146 losses on settled markets, $3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026R2D35WJIAU32UFAW-OVIYUUNV5 on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 7%
- Return on settled
- +23%
- Money traded
- $19.1K
- Typical trade
- $53.27
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,824
Profit over time
+$4.1K-$2.5K
May 4Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1624%5%+2 pts
20 to 40¢726%43%+16 pts
40 to 60¢351%0%-51 pts
Over 80¢390%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $19443%-$273.59
$19 to $53440%-$1.7K
$54 to $1134413%+$2.6K
$123 to $1.3K4314%+$2.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays1697%+$3.5K
Soccer60%-$189.16
Side taken
Yes 98%2% No
If you had copied occasional.goat4985
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$630.69
Profit
on $9,300.00 staked
7-86
Record
8% win rate
-7%
Return
+$0.00-$2.7K
Aug 24Nov 2
-$3.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$8.0K won vs $8.6K lost
+3.2 pts
Edge vs implied
8% won at 4¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 27
- Deepest drawdown
- 65 trades
By category
sports92 settled-6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026R2D35WJIAU32UFAW-OVIYUUNV5
Nov 3
yes Dallas,yes Tampa Bay,yes Buffalo,yes Pittsburgh,yes Jacksonville,yes New York J,yes Detroit,yes Cincinnati
Nov 1, 2 fills
no Miami wins by more than 2.5 goals,no Nashville wins by more than 2.5 goals,no Portland wins by more than 2.5 goals,no Vancouver wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored
Nov 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.6Kyes Real Madrid,yes Atletico,yes Leon,yes Como,yes Roma,yes Inter$470.78 on Yes at 12¢, Sep 14
- 2+$3.0Kyes Stuttgart,yes Wolverhampton,yes Bournemouth,yes Brentford,yes Eindhoven,yes Barcelona,yes Real Betis,yes Vallecano,yes Porto,yes Al Hilal,yes Como,yes Roma,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored$93.46 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 31
- 3+$2.1Kyes Bayern Munich,yes 9+ corners,yes Real Sociedad,no Barcelona wins by more than 2.5 goals,yes Marseille,yes PSG,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Milan,yes Over 1.5 goals scored$187.72 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Belgium,yes England,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored15¢20%-$462.20
yes 9+ corners,yes 10+ corners,yes 10+ corners,yes Real Madrid,no Real Betis wins by more than 1.5 goals7¢2100%+$1.3K
yes Tottenham,yes Liverpool11¢2100%+$738.56
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026R2D35WJIAU32UFAW-OVIYUUNV513¢10%-$614.47
yes Bayern Munich,yes Liverpool,yes Chelsea,yes Manchester City,yes Atletico,yes Villarreal,yes PSG,yes Inter,yes Roma1¢20%-$93.22
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
May 2026-$9.72
Jun 2026-$422.50
Jul 2026-$242.57
Aug 2026-$14.73
Sep 2026+$1.3K
Oct 2026+$3.4K
Nov 2026-$688.74
Kalshi leaderboards
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