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Stats as of
okay.herring4204
+$22.22
- Tracked Trades
- 577
- First Seen
- Oct 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 100% won · 13 settled · +$157.08
okay.herring4204 is a Kalshi trader with 577 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 148 wins and 193 losses on settled markets, $22.22 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MRA27557OYD56JDD-XR4HT7D3A on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 43%
- Return on settled
- +0%
- Money traded
- $18.0K
- Typical trade
- $14.66
- Avg entry
- 13¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,955
Profit over time
+$30.00-$467.00
Oct 11Oct 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1618%11%+2 pts
20 to 40¢9430%40%+10 pts
40 to 60¢13951%49%-2 pts
60 to 80¢10869%63%-6 pts
Over 80¢7589%88%-1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $714527%-$79.71
$8 to $1514440%+$258.88
$15 to $3714456%+$373.36
$38 to $1.4K14449%-$530.31
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities26752%+$63.45
Tennis12619%-$25.92
NFL6256%-$201.03
Parlays215%+$67.86
Bitcoin26100%+$157.08
XRP1645%-$18.71
Side taken
Yes 56%44% No
If you had copied okay.herring4204
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$1,372.40
Profit
on $25,800.00 staked
105-153
Record
41% win rate
-5%
Return
+$0.00-$1.4K
Oct 5Oct 12
-$5.0K
Max drawdown
691% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.91×
Profit factor
$13.9K won vs $15.3K lost
-1.5 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 13
- Deepest drawdown
- 159 trades
By category
sports91 settled+4%
finance128 settled-10%
crypto39 settled-11%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MRA27557OYD56JDD-XR4HT7D3A
Oct 18
yes Arkansas,yes Arkansas St.,yes South Florida,yes Ohio,yes Houston,yes TCU,yes Oklahoma,yes New Mexico,yes Utah,yes Wake Forest,yes UCLA,yes Stanford,yes Fresno St.,yes BYU,yes Nebraska,yes North Dakota St.,yes San Jose St.,yes Oregon St.
Oct 18
yes Houston,yes Kentucky,yes Utah,yes Wake Forest,yes UCLA,yes Miami (FL),yes BYU,yes Oklahoma St.
Oct 18
Biggest wins
- 1+$343.55Mika Brunold wins$158.48 on Yes at 32¢, Oct 14
- 2+$261.39yes Houston,yes Kentucky,yes Utah,yes Wake Forest,yes UCLA,yes Miami (FL),yes BYU,yes Oklahoma St.$9.20 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 18
- 3+$232.58Michaela Bayerlova wins$51.25 on Yes at 18¢, Oct 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?54¢15851%+$59.24
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026MRA27557OYD56JDD-XR4HT7D3A1+$0.00
Cleveland wins41¢1513%-$402.15
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?48¢4862%-$44.37
Junlu Sun wins15¢80%-$103.20
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$22.22
Kalshi leaderboards
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