rivomarkets

Stats as of

optimistic.aardwolf6583

-$2.0K
Tracked Trades
106
First Seen
Jan 25, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Best In Parlays
20% won · 20 settled · +$2.5K

optimistic.aardwolf6583 is a Kalshi trader with 106 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 27 wins and 75 losses on settled markets, -$2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C76AF1138E2-D8A03816EB8 on Sep 20.

Win rate
26%
Return on settled
-12%
Money traded
$20.8K
Typical trade
$94
Avg entry
21¢
Kalshi rank
#5,335

Profit over time

+$1.6K-$3.2K
Jan 25Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢398%8%+0 pts
20 to 40¢3829%34%+5 pts
40 to 60¢2146%43%-3 pts
60 to 80¢768%33%-35 pts
Over 80¢196%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $132712%-$108
$16 to $942726%-$476
$94 to $2342656%+$2.1K
$235 to $3.0K2613%-$3.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NBA4129%-$3.9K
Parlays2120%+$2.5K
MMA1744%+$419
Soccer813%-$1.2K
College football120%-$64
NFL550%+$201

Side taken

Yes 93%7% No

If you had copied optimistic.aardwolf6583

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1102
Profit
on $1800 staked
2-16
Record
11% win rate
-61%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time18 settled trades
+$298-$1.1K
Aug 10Sep 14

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 18 so far.

By category

other18 settled-61%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $188

The markets optimistic.aardwolf6583 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what optimistic.aardwolf6583 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C76AF1138E2-D8A03816EB8
Sep 20
Sold Nosold 74¢$3.0KExited
Will LSU win the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game?
Sep 20
Yes27¢$41-$41
Florida St. wins
Sep 20
Sold Nosold 96¢$1.1KExited
See every position across 58 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Sean O'Malley,yes Ciryl Gane,yes Justin Gaethje
    $470 on Yes at 11¢, Jun 15
    +$4.0K
  2. 2
    Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner?
    $1.4K on Yes at 46¢, Jun 6
    +$1.7K
  3. 3
    yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Detroit
    $285 on Yes at 24¢, Sep 11
    +$912
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C76AF1138E2-D8A03816EB81+$0
Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?27¢110%-$2.6K
Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner?46¢7100%+$1.7K
Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner?57¢20%-$1.2K
Florida St. wins2¢110%-$23

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$613
Feb 2026-$101
Mar 2026+$360
Apr 2026-$102
May 2026-$102
Jun 2026-$19
Jul 2026-$3.3K
Aug 2026-$75
Sep 2026+$772

Kalshi leaderboards

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