rivomarkets

Stats as of

optimistic.hamster8653

+$2.3K
Tracked Trades
1,037
First Seen
Aug 17, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In Parlays
23% won · 53 settled · +$3.8K

optimistic.hamster8653 is a Kalshi trader with 1,037 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 267 wins and 277 losses on settled markets, $2.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Atlanta,yes Dallas,yes Jacksonville,yes Kansas City,yes New York G,yes New England,yes Pittsburgh,yes Indianapolis,yes San Francisco on Oct 15.

Win rate
49%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$57.9K
Typical trade
$14
Avg entry
12¢
Kalshi rank
#2,641

Profit over time

+$3.3K-$1.5K
Aug 18Oct 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3755%8%+2 pts
20 to 40¢15430%22%-8 pts
40 to 60¢14649%31%-18 pts
60 to 80¢11170%57%-13 pts
Over 80¢25192%94%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $426044%-$17
$4 to $1425938%+$30
$14 to $4525944%-$706
$45 to $3.9K25970%+$3.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin61653%-$1.7K
Parlays31226%+$4.5K
Baseball6432%-$363
Commodities3376%-$21
NFL1218%-$185

Side taken

Yes 60%40% No

If you had copied optimistic.hamster8653

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$6555
Profit
on $54400 staked
267-277
Record
49% win rate
-12%
Return
281 still open
Profit over time544 settled trades
+$0-$7.8K
Aug 17Oct 12
-$10.2K
Max drawdown
18944% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.76×
Profit factor
$21.1K won vs $27.7K lost
-6.1 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 55¢ avg
Longest losing streak
23
Deepest drawdown
519 trades

By category

sports102 settled+46%
finance25 settled-14%
crypto417 settled-26%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

244 open positions worth $10.9K

The markets optimistic.hamster8653 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what optimistic.hamster8653 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Atlanta,yes Dallas,yes Jacksonville,yes Kansas City,yes New York G,yes New England,yes Pittsburgh,yes Indianapolis,yes San Francisco
Oct 15
Yes0¢$9-$9
yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Atlanta,yes Dallas,yes Jacksonville,yes Kansas City,yes New England,yes Pittsburgh,yes Indianapolis,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Bijan Robinson: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+
Oct 15
Yes0¢$18-$18
no Over 0.5 runs,yes Seattle,yes Seattle,yes Bo Nix: 1+,no Bo Nix: 2+,yes Sam Darnold: 2+,no Bo Nix: 200+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 5+,yes Seattle wins by over 2.5 points,yes Emanuel Wilson: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+
Oct 15
Yes1¢$2-$2
See every position across 500 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Cleveland,no Munetaka Murakami: 1+,yes José Ramírez: 1+,no Over 0.5 runs,no Over 0.5 runs,yes Sam Darnold: 1+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+
    $187 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 10
    +$4.6K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $333 on No at 47¢, Aug 22
    +$376
  3. 3
    no Over 0.5 runs,yes San Francisco,yes Sam Darnold: 1+
    $191 on Yes at 35¢, Oct 11
    +$357
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?59¢61653%-$1.7K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266284C01EBC8-A8D0BAFCF761+$0
yes Over 0.5 runs,yes Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Seattle,yes Baltimore,yes Philadelphia,yes Jacksonville,yes Pittsburgh,yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+0¢2+$0
Parlay: Milwaukee + Atlanta70¢20%-$580
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026A7FDE19E9D9-C984415505D1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$1.3K
Sep 2026+$162
Oct 2026+$3.4K

Kalshi leaderboards

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