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Stats as of
orangie
-$3.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 251
- First Seen
- Sep 24, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 22, 2026
- Best In US politics
- 39% won · 18 settled · +$4.4K
orangie is a Kalshi trader with 251 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 93 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, -$3.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNBAGAME-26OCT22CLEPHI-PHI on Oct 22.
- Win rate
- 43%
- Return on settled
- -10%
- Money traded
- $44.3K
- Typical trade
- $48
- Avg entry
- 47¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,833
Profit over time
+$4.7K-$6.6K
Sep 24Oct 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3711%21%+9 pts
20 to 40¢2530%17%-12 pts
40 to 60¢6750%28%-22 pts
60 to 80¢7069%77%+8 pts
Over 80¢5290%57%-33 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $106337%-$64
$10 to $486343%-$129
$48 to $1916341%+$319
$193 to $3.6K6253%-$3.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL1627%-$3.9K
Hockey3936%-$2.0K
Tennis4453%-$3.2K
US politics2539%+$4.4K
NBA1375%+$2.8K
Mentions8451%-$449
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied orangie
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$193
Profit
on $1500 staked
9-6
Record
60% win rate
+13%
Return
+$193-$400
Oct 5Oct 19
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 15 so far.
By category
sports14 settled+9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXNBAGAME-26OCT22CLEPHI-PHI
Oct 22
Los Angeles C wins
Oct 22
Philadelphia wins
Oct 22
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.3KWill the federal government shut down for more than 35 days?$941 on Yes at 15¢, Oct 4
- 2+$1.1KPhiladelphia wins$963 on Yes at 47¢, Oct 20
- 3+$699Tampa Bay vs Columbus Winner?$514 on Yes at 42¢, Oct 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the federal government shut down for more than 35 days?15¢14100%+$5.3K
Los Angeles R at Jacksonville Winner?96¢3100%+$191
New York G at Denver Winner?45¢70%-$2.6K
Philadelphia wins66¢6100%+$2.0K
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Alcaraz vs Norrie match?93¢190%-$3.6K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 25Oct 22
Profit by month
Sep 2025-$1.1K
Oct 2025-$3.6K
Dec 2025-$17
Feb 2026-$91
Jun 2026-$301
Jul 2026-$47
Oct 2026+$1.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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