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Stats as of

orthodox.marmot8453

-$21.9K
Tracked Trades
507
First Seen
Mar 20, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 30, 2026
Best In College football
69% won · 67 settled · +$11.1K

orthodox.marmot8453 is a Kalshi trader with 507 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 172 wins and 310 losses on settled markets, -$21.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Portland wins on Oct 30.

Win rate
36%
Return on settled
-13%
Money traded
$193.6K
Typical trade
$282.74
Avg entry
39¢
Kalshi rank
#6,501

Profit over time

+$769.00-$35.2K
Mar 20Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3712%16%+4 pts
20 to 40¢14531%22%-9 pts
40 to 60¢28149%41%-7 pts
60 to 80¢2768%71%+3 pts
Over 80¢1786%63%-24 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $9712721%-$3.2K
$97 to $28312742%-$2.4K
$283 to $48212739%-$140.80
$482 to $3.1K12641%-$16.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL12045%+$5.3K
Baseball7730%-$9.8K
Parlays6414%-$12.2K
College football6769%+$11.1K
College basketball5337%-$4.6K
NBA2333%-$2.1K

Side taken

Yes 79%21% No

If you had copied orthodox.marmot8453

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$3,706.48
Profit
on $12,300.00 staked
66-57
Record
54% win rate
+30%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time123 settled trades
+$4.3K-$67.44
Aug 24Oct 26
-$786.70
Max drawdown
18% below peak
4.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.65×
Profit factor
$9.4K won vs $5.7K lost
+9.1 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 45¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
25 trades

By category

other6 settled+48%
sports116 settled+29%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $1.4K

The markets orthodox.marmot8453 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what orthodox.marmot8453 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Portland wins
Oct 30, 2 fills
Yes38¢$2.5K-$2.5K
Green Bay wins by over 13.5 points?
Oct 30, 2 fills
No48¢$1.9K+$2.1K
Parlay: San Antonio + Not Green Bay wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 29, 4 fills
Yes38¢$3.4K-$3.4K
See every position across 254 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Baltimore wins
    $2.0K on Yes at 26¢, Oct 12
    +$5.8K
  2. 2
    Kansas City vs Detroit Total Runs?
    $3.1K on Yes at 39¢, Jul 23
    +$4.8K
  3. 3
    Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game: Minnesota wins?
    $2.1K on Yes at 35¢, Sep 13
    +$3.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Kansas City vs Detroit Total Runs?41¢617%+$537.76
Atlanta vs Baltimore Winner?50¢80%-$5.6K
Baltimore wins29¢9100%+$8.6K
Utah Archers vs Denver Outlaws Winner?52¢502%-$3.9K
Los Angeles R wins52¢40%-$1.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 2Oct 30

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$3.2K
Apr 2026-$2.7K
May 2026-$940.34
Jun 2026-$3.6K
Jul 2026-$21.0K
Aug 2026-$69.13
Sep 2026+$4.8K
Oct 2026+$4.9K

Kalshi leaderboards

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