Get an alert the moment pad.bit trades.
Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.
Stats as of
pad.bit
+$602
- Tracked Trades
- 969
- First Seen
- Sep 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 25% won · 61 settled · +$703
pad.bit is a Kalshi trader with 969 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 482 wins and 158 losses on settled markets, $602 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026JDO5BOZ4A4PPC65L-ORMPYIHNW on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 75%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $59.9K
- Typical trade
- $11
- Avg entry
- 72¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,867
Profit over time
+$2.8K-$790
Sep 13Sep 25
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1923%0%-3 pts
20 to 40¢6329%38%+9 pts
40 to 60¢6851%46%-5 pts
60 to 80¢16471%51%-20 pts
Over 80¢48290%92%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $324370%-$18
$3 to $1124278%-$31
$11 to $5224269%-$604
$52 to $1.3K24283%+$1.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities62091%+$420
Parlays9725%+$703
Bitcoin6669%+$217
Baseball4979%-$40
MMA2013%-$366
NFL2935%+$55
Side taken
Yes 46%54% No
If you had copied pad.bit
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$4757
Profit
on $64000 staked
482-158
Record
75% win rate
-7%
Return
+$0-$5.1K
Sep 7Sep 21
-$6.4K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.70×
Profit factor
$11.0K won vs $15.8K lost
-2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
75% won at 78¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 208 trades
By category
other637 settled-8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026JDO5BOZ4A4PPC65L-ORMPYIHNW
Oct 18
Parlay: Denver + Detroit + Washington
Oct 11
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266D27B26B711-FD1775DC9DC
Oct 11
Biggest wins
- 1+$622Copper price up in next 15 mins?$3.2K on Yes at 84¢, Sep 25
- 2+$468Silver price up in next 15 mins?$2.5K on No at 84¢, Sep 25
- 3+$426no Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Los Angeles R wins by over 4.5 points,no Over 39.5 points scored$140 on Yes at 25¢, Sep 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?90¢16597%+$1.2K
Silver price up in next 15 mins?88¢10991%-$1.1K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?82¢11381%-$128
Copper price up in next 15 mins?87¢16686%+$244
BTC price up in next 15 mins?79¢4695%+$315
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$602
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies pad.bit.
Bring pad.bit into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.