Stats as of
PainfulRabbit
painfulrabbit
+$1.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 981
- First Seen
- Sep 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 16, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 47% won · 91 settled · +$3.6K
PainfulRabbit is a Kalshi trader with 981 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 315 wins and 584 losses on settled markets, $1.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 16.
- Win rate
- 35%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $44.9K
- Typical trade
- $10
- Avg entry
- 22¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,286
Profit over time
+$4.0K-$1.1K
Sep 23Oct 16
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3528%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢25030%33%+3 pts
40 to 60¢25048%53%+6 pts
60 to 80¢9368%77%+9 pts
Over 80¢3694%97%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $324619%-$73
$3 to $1024530%-$534
$10 to $4824541%-$268
$48 to $3.4K24547%+$1.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL10847%+$3.6K
Bitcoin39834%+$83
Commodities37236%-$825
Baseball6018%-$1.7K
Tennis975%+$467
Parlays813%-$572
Side taken
Yes 67%33% No
If you had copied PainfulRabbit
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$22523
Profit
on $89900 staked
315-584
Record
35% win rate
-25%
Return
8 still open
+$0-$22.5K
Sep 21Oct 12
-$23.2K
Max drawdown
3676% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.61×
Profit factor
$35.9K won vs $58.4K lost
+0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
35% won at 34¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 34
- Deepest drawdown
- 854 trades
By category
sports163 settled-10%
crypto370 settled-26%
finance366 settled-31%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
1 open position worth $100
The markets PainfulRabbit is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 16
Jelena Ostapenko wins
Oct 16
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 16, 7 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.1KAtlanta wins$1.9K on Yes at 48¢, Oct 5
- 2+$1.3KSan Francisco wins$1.2K on Yes at 49¢, Oct 11
- 3+$1.2KChicago wins$670 on Yes at 36¢, Sep 29
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?17¢38835%+$145
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?30¢31635%-$371
KXNFLGAME-26OCT15SEADEN-SEA2+$0
San Francisco wins47¢1988%+$2.1K
Atlanta wins48¢680%+$2.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 19Oct 16
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$807
Oct 2026+$1.8K
Kalshi leaderboards
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